Irapuato vs Correcaminos UAT: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT
03/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Irapuato
59.3%
Draw
22%
Correcaminos UAT
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 22.8% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 22.2% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.62)
    4.21
    (4.05)
    4.96
    (4.59)
    7.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • Recent performances by Irapuato have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Correcaminos has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Irapuato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Irapuato is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Irapuato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Irapuato
    05.09.2025 Dorados - Irapuato 0:1
    30.08.2025 Irapuato - Jaiba Brava 1:1
    23.08.2025 Atlante - Irapuato 4:0
    Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampico Madero862014:8620
    2Cancun861113:21119
    3Atlante851218:81016
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos935116:9714
    5Irapuato842213:10314
    6Atletico La Paz833217:14312
    7Tlaxcala933311:16-512
    8Tapatio932413:11211
    9Venados932422:24-211
    10Atl. Morelia832311:15-411
    11Zacatecas Mineros824214:14010
    12Leones Negros823312:1209
    13Correcaminos913513:23-106
    14Alebrijes Oaxaca811610:19-94
    15Dorados de Sinaloa91086:18-123

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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