Internacional RS vs Nacional Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores Internacional RS - Nacional Montevideo
Result
3:3
22/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3
  • Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
Internacional RS - Nacional Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.761.94
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
87% (409/470)59% (103/176)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
2.761.94
xG on target (xGOT)
2.072.34
Total shots
149
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
3611
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
913
Passes
87% (409/470)59% (103/176)
Long passes
74% (35/47)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
78% (121/156)59% (34/58)
Crosses
25% (7/28)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.55
Fouls
139
Tackles
65% (11/17)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4656
Clearances Total
2133
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.342.07
Goals prevented
-0.66-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Millan J. , Oliva C. (A),
  • 10', 0 - 2, Boggio L. , Villalba Jaume L. M. (A),
  • 28', Valencia E. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 3, Coates S. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 3, Alan Patrick (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gabriel Carvalho , Borre R. ,
  • 48', Borre R. 🟨,
  • 61', Bruno Henrique , Romero O. ,
  • 61', Aguirre B. , Vitinho ,
  • 61', Recoba J. , Rodriguez Y. ,
  • 61', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Eduardo Vargas ,
  • 64', Wesley 🟨,
  • 66', Victor Gabriel 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 3, Bernabei A. , Romero O. (A),
  • 71', Ancheta E. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 73', 3 - 3, Fernando , Alan Patrick (A),
  • 83', Wesley , Ramon ,
  • 83', Bernabei A. , Nathan ,
  • 84', Lopez N. , Herazo D. ,
  • 84', Oliva C. , Morales L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Internacional RS 66.5%Draw 22%Nacional Montevideo 11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Internacional RS 69.3%Draw 20.7%Nacional Montevideo 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Internacional RS 73.1%Draw 19.6%Nacional Montevideo 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional RS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Internacional RS - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.37)
    4.32
    (4.57)
    8.28
    (9.45)
    5.7%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Internacional RS - Nacional Montevideo?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Internacional is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes (Knee Injury) Carbonero J. (Injury) Drummond L. (Knee Injury) Mercado G. (Knee Injury) Rochet S. (Broken Hand)
    • There will not play in Nacional: Carneiro G. (Knee Injury) Mereles E. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Internacional won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Internacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Internacional RS - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    07.06.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS 1:1
    03.05.2023 Internacional RS - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    Latest results of Internacional RS
    Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. De Chile32104:227
    2Estudiantes L.P32014:226
    3Botafogo RJ31022:203
    4Carabobo30121:5-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate31203:215
    2Ind. del Valle31113:304
    3Barcelona SC31111:104
    4U. de Deportes31021:2-13


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba32104:227
    2LDU Quito31202:025
    3Flamengo RJ31112:204
    4Dep. Tachira30031:5-40


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo32105:237
    2Libertad Asuncion32013:216
    3Alianza Lima31115:504
    4Talleres Cordoba30032:6-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga31206:515
    2Racing Club31115:324
    3Fortaleza31114:404
    4Colo Colo30214:7-32


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bahia32103:127
    2Internacional31207:435
    3Atl. Nacional31023:4-13
    4Nacional30123:7-41


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras33007:439
    2Cerro Porteno31116:514
    3Bolivar31027:703
    4Sporting Cristal30124:8-41


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield32017:346
    2SA Bulo Bulo32015:506
    3Penarol31113:214
    4Olimpia Asuncion30122:7-51

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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