Orlando City vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Orlando City - Inter Miami
Result
4:1
10/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Villarreal A. (Usa)
Orlando City - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.550.69
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
125
Big Chances
91
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
90% (393/436)85% (423/495)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.550.69
xG on target (xGOT)
3.300.92
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
125
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
91
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
116
Passes
90% (393/436)85% (423/495)
Long passes
66% (25/38)58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
84% (114/136)77% (105/136)
Crosses
17% (3/18)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.73
Throw-ins
712
Fouls
911
Tackles
50% (7/14)67% (12/18)
Duels won
3837
Clearances
2318
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
48
xGOT faced
0.923.30
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Muriel L. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 5', 1 - 1, Bright Y. ,
  • 26', Freeman A. 🟨,
  • 34', Falcon M. 🟨,
  • 38', Araujo C. 🟨,
  • 40', Jansson R. 🟨,
  • 45', Allen N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Muriel L. ,
  • 58', 3 - 1, Ojeda M. , Muriel L. (A), Jansson R. (A2)
  • 64', Segovia T. , Picault F. ,
  • 64', Falcon M. , Lujan G. ,
  • 79', Allende T. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 79', Fray I. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 82', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 84', Atuesta E. , Smith K. ,
  • 84', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Pasalic M. ,
  • 90', Angulo I. , Spicer T. ,
  • 90', Pasalic M. , Thorhallsson D. ,

Chances of winning


Orlando City
48.7%
Draw
24.1%
Inter Miami
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 25.5% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 27.1% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Orlando City - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.07)
    3.94
    (3.74)
    3.51
    (3.35)
    5.6%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 25.7%63.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1.
    • Orlando City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter Miami is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ustari O. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Messi L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Inter Miami were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Inter Miami - Orlando City 0:3
    15.05.2024 Orlando City - Inter Miami 0:0
    02.03.2024 Inter Miami - Orlando City 5:0
    24.09.2023 Orlando City - Inter Miami 1:1
    02.08.2023 Inter Miami - Orlando City 3:1
    Latest results of Orlando City
    06.08.2025 Orlando City - Necaxa 5:1
    02.08.2025 Orlando City - Atlas 3:1
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    30.07.2025 Inter Miami - Atlas 2:1
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Orlando City - Inter Miami?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
    australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
    austriaAustriaDAZN
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    indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app, Vision+
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    israelIsraelSport 2
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
    mexicoMexicoHBO Max
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    philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
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    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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