Ingolstadt vs Ulm 1846: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German 3 Bundesliga Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846
Result
4:1
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 3. Liga - Round 10
  • Referee: Uhrig B. H. (Ger)
Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
126
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
45
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1412
Throw-ins
1932
Fouls
912

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Costly M. , Deichmann Y. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Dajaku L. (Pen),
  • 41', Scholz J. , Decker E. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Brandt M. , Westermeier B. ,
  • 46', Becker A. , Roser L. ,
  • 50', Wittmann S. 🟨,
  • 52', 2 - 1, Lorenz S. ,
  • 60', Dajaku L. , Anderson Brown E. ,
  • 61', Chessa D. , Besong P. ,
  • 61', Rosenlocher L. , Sekulovic D. ,
  • 66', Anderson Brown E. 🟨,
  • 75', Loder E. , Scholze M. ,
  • 83', David J. 🟨,
  • 85', Deichmann Y. , Maljojoki J. ,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Costly M. , Plath M. (A),
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Sekulovic D. , Costly M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ingolstadt
40.4%
Draw
25.3%
Ulm 1846
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 24.4% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 24.1% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ingolstadt's form might have worsened.
  • Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulm 1846's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingolstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.98)
    3.71
    (3.78)
    2.77
    (3.19)
    6.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Ulm will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 8%64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • In recent matches, Ingolstadt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ulm is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ingolstadt is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846 1:1
    24.02.2024 Ulm 1846 - Ingolstadt 0:0
    30.09.2023 Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846 4:0
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    01.10.2025 Verl - Ingolstadt 2:2
    27.09.2025 Duisburg - Ingolstadt 2:1
    17.09.2025 TSV Havelse - Ingolstadt 2:6
    13.09.2025 Ingolstadt - Schweinfurt 2:3
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    01.10.2025 Ulm 1846 - Schweinfurt 5:1
    28.09.2025 Hoffenheim II - Ulm 1846 1:1
    21.09.2025 Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg 2:1
    16.09.2025 Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846 3:1
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg1073022:91324
    2Cottbus1062224:141020
    3Saarbrucken1154221:16519
    4VfL Osnabruck1154215:10519
    5Verl1154223:19419
    6RW Essen1154222:19319
    7Stuttgart II1153315:15018
    8Hoffenheim II1152424:17717
    9Viktoria Koln1152416:11517
    10Mannheim1151520:18216
    11Wehen1144314:14016
    12Ingolstadt1135320:15514
    13Hansa Rostock1135311:12-114
    14Ulm1041517:18-113
    15Munich 18601033414:17-312
    16Aue1132610:18-811
    17Alemannia Aachen1131717:21-410
    18Regensburg102269:16-78
    19TSV Havelse1004611:23-124
    20Schweinfurt1110107:30-233

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

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