Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 3. Liga - Round 36
  • Referee: Weller F. (Ger)
Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
410
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
716
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
47
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1115
Throw-ins
2723
Fouls
158
Goalkeeper Saves
103

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Frode L. 🟨,
  • 33', Nkansah S. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Loune A. , Barylla A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 69', Kanuric B. , Kopacz D. ,
  • 69', Costly M. , Duhring M. N. ,
  • 69', Testroet P. , Malone R. ,
  • 71', Sijaric O. , Seitz S. ,
  • 71', Nkansah S. , Hoffmann T. ,
  • 71', Loune A. , Fallmann P. ,
  • 79', Christensen G. , Deichmann Y. ,
  • 79', Zeitler D. , Heike T. ,
  • 83', Hoffmann T. 🟨,
  • 86', Tashchy B. , Seidel P. ,
  • 88', Boevink P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Stefaniak M. , Vukancic N. ,
  • 90+2', Keidel F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Seitz S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
36.9%
Draw
26.6%
Ingolstadt
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26.1% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 26.2% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.69)
    3.52
    (3.57)
    2.55
    (2.37)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Erzgebirge Aue will win! (5 of 6 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Aue has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ingolstadt is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aue won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0
    19.12.2023 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:1
    06.08.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt 1:0
    20.05.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt 0:3
    16.01.2023 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1SaarbruckenBraunschweig2 : 2, 0 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
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