Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 3. Liga - Round 36
  • Referee: Weller F. (Ger)
Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
410
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
716
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
47
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1115
Throw-ins
2723
Fouls
158
Goalkeeper Saves
103

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Frode L. 🟨,
  • 33', Nkansah S. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Loune A. , Barylla A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 69', Kanuric B. , Kopacz D. ,
  • 69', Costly M. , Duhring M. N. ,
  • 69', Testroet P. , Malone R. ,
  • 71', Sijaric O. , Seitz S. ,
  • 71', Nkansah S. , Hoffmann T. ,
  • 71', Loune A. , Fallmann P. ,
  • 79', Christensen G. , Deichmann Y. ,
  • 79', Zeitler D. , Heike T. ,
  • 83', Hoffmann T. 🟨,
  • 86', Tashchy B. , Seidel P. ,
  • 88', Boevink P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Stefaniak M. , Vukancic N. ,
  • 90+2', Keidel F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Seitz S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
36.9%
Draw
26.6%
Ingolstadt
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26.1% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 26.2% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.69)
    3.52
    (3.57)
    2.55
    (2.37)
    7.6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Erzgebirge Aue will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Aue has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ingolstadt is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aue won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0
    19.12.2023 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:1
    06.08.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt 1:0
    20.05.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt 0:3
    16.01.2023 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg1073022:91324
    2Cottbus1062224:141020
    3VfL Osnabruck1054115:6919
    4Saarbrucken1054119:12719
    5Viktoria Koln1052316:10617
    6Wehen1044214:11316
    7RW Essen1044221:19216
    8Verl1044219:17216
    9Stuttgart II1043312:15-315
    10Hoffenheim II1042420:17314
    11Mannheim1041518:18013
    12Ulm1041517:18-113
    13Munich 18601033414:17-312
    14Ingolstadt1025319:15411
    15Hansa Rostock102538:12-411
    16Aue1032510:16-611
    17Alemannia Aachen1031617:20-310
    18Regensburg102269:16-78
    19TSV Havelse1004611:23-124
    20Schweinfurt101097:27-203

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
    germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
    worldWorldOnefootball
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan