Indy Eleven vs Las Vegas Lights: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN).

: USL Championship

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	0.58
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
85% (371/439)	86% (357/414)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	0.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	0.34
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
26	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
14	14
Passes
85% (371/439)	86% (357/414)
Long passes
53% (23/43)	60% (38/63)
Passes in final third
70% (89/127)	65% (55/84)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	0% (0/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.22
Throw-ins
20	11
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
58% (7/12)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
34	32
Clearances
23	21
Interceptions
1	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.34	0.40
Goals prevented
-0.66	0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Nigro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', Rendon B. ↓, White H. ↑,
67', Quinn A. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
67', Blake J. ↓, Foster M. ↑,
67', Peeters D. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
68', Amoh E. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
75', Leal P. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
75', Jones N. ↓, Howell M. ↑,
75', Smart S. ↓, Gyau J. ↑,
80', Hogan P. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
85', Rodriguez J. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Pickering N. ⚽, Stojanovic S. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Indy Eleven
56%

Draw
23.6%

Las Vegas Lights
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Indy Eleven's performance.

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Vegas Lights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indy Eleven that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Vegas Lights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.04)	3.88 ↑ (3.52)	4.51 ↑ (3.25)	9% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Indy is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Las Vegas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Indy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Indy is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Indy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Indy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Las Vegas Lights?

Indy Eleven has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Indy Eleven?

Las Vegas Lights has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:

24.08.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Indy Eleven 3:2

01.04.2023 Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights 0:0

Latest results of Indy Eleven

14.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:0 ✺

04.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic 4:4 ✺

24.05.2025 One Knoxville - Indy Eleven 0:1 ✺

16.05.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Indy Eleven 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Las Vegas Lights

14.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 2:0 ✺

07.06.2025 San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights 3:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0 ✺

28.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	25	18	6	1	51:19	32	60
2	Charleston ✔	25	17	3	5	52:27	25	54
3	North Carolina	25	12	4	9	38:34	4	40
4	Loudoun	25	11	5	9	41:42	-1	38
5	Hartford Athletic	25	10	5	10	38:29	9	35
6	Pittsburgh	25	9	7	9	25:24	1	34
7	Detroit	25	8	8	9	29:31	-2	32
8	Rhode Island	26	8	7	11	20:26	-6	31
9	Indy Eleven	25	8	5	12	38:44	-6	29
10	Tampa Bay	25	7	5	13	33:40	-7	26
11	Birmingham	25	4	10	11	31:44	-13	22
12	Miami FC	26	5	6	15	22:40	-18	21

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	25	13	8	4	40:27	13	47
2	Sacramento Republic	24	11	8	5	37:19	18	41
3	New Mexico	25	11	4	10	34:33	1	37
4	San Antonio	24	10	6	8	34:31	3	36
5	Lexington	25	9	8	8	27:30	-3	35
6	El Paso	25	8	9	8	39:37	2	33
7	Phoenix Rising	25	7	11	7	42:44	-2	32
8	Colorado Springs	25	8	7	10	33:37	-4	31
9	Orange County SC	23	8	5	10	35:37	-2	29
10	Oakland Roots	24	7	5	12	29:38	-9	26
11	Monterey Bay	26	6	7	13	25:37	-12	25
12	Las Vegas Lights	25	6	7	12	19:42	-23	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Which TV channels are streaming of Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+