Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.37
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
75% (269/359)70% (246/349)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.11
Total shots
76
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
174
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
75% (269/359)70% (246/349)
Long passes
42% (34/81)25% (14/57)
Passes in final third
59% (76/128)52% (54/104)
Crosses
19% (5/26)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.32
Throw-ins
1325
Fouls
1712
Tackles
82% (14/17)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5539
Clearances
2426
Interceptions
135
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.111.93
Goals prevented
-0.89-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, ,
  • 34', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
47.6%
Draw
25.2%
Birmingham Legion
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 26.8% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 23.8% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indy Eleven that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.93)
    3.7
    (3.43)
    3.44
    (3.6)
    7.2%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 5.
    • Recent performances by Indy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Birmingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Indy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Indy might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Indy won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    28.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 2:1
    04.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1
    19.10.2024 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 3:2
    09.06.2024 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1
    09.08.2023 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 4:0
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 25186151:193260
    2Charleston ✔ 25173552:272554
    3North Carolina25124938:34440
    4Loudoun25115941:42-138
    5Hartford Athletic251051038:29935
    6Pittsburgh2597925:24134
    7Detroit2588929:31-232
    8Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    9Indy Eleven25851238:44-629
    10Tampa Bay25751333:40-726
    11Birmingham254101131:44-1322
    12Miami FC26561522:40-1821


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa25138440:271347
    2Sacramento Republic24118537:191841
    3New Mexico251141034:33137
    4San Antonio24106834:31336
    5Lexington2598827:30-335
    6El Paso2589839:37233
    7Phoenix Rising25711742:44-232
    8Colorado Springs25871033:37-431
    9Orange County SC23851035:37-229
    10Oakland Roots24751229:38-926
    11Monterey Bay26671325:37-1225
    12Las Vegas Lights25671219:42-2325

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Network, ESPN+, Paramount+
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