Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer  USL League One Cup Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion
Result
2:1 penalties
28/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Cup
Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.882.52
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
921
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
72% (186/260)85% (403/473)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.882.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.02
Total shots
921
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
1426
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
88
Passes
72% (186/260)85% (403/473)
Long passes
40% (27/67)54% (31/57)
Passes in final third
55% (51/92)74% (112/152)
Crosses
33% (4/12)42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.152.18
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
88
Tackles
88% (14/16)89% (8/9)
Duels won
4635
Clearances
1918
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.021.35
Goals prevented
0.020.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, O'Brien J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', O'Brien J. 🟨,
  • 52', Hamouda R. , Suarez S. ,
  • 67', Bryneus O. , McRobb F. ,
  • 69', Musa J. 🟨,
  • 77', Trejo D. , Preston T. ,
  • 77', Tregarthen S. , Turnbull S. ,
  • 77', Rufe J. , Hernandez-Foster K. ,
  • 81', Amoh E. , Williams R. ,
  • 82', Foster M. , Collier E. ,
  • 85', Mensah M. , Centeno E. ,
  • 88', Murphy J. , Blake J. ,
  • 89', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Preston T. ,
  • 90+6', Pasher T. 🟨,
  • Penalties (7 - 6)
  • 1, Williams R. (Pen),
  • 1, Pasher T. (Pen),
  • 2, Blake J. (Pen),
  • 2, Laszo E. (Pen),
  • 3, Lindley C. (Pen),
  • 3, Hernandez-Foster K. (Pen),
  • 4, Quinn A. (Pen),
  • 4, Preston T. (Pen),
  • 5, McRobb F. (Pen),
  • 5, Damus R. (Pen),
  • 6, Rendon B. (Pen),
  • 6, Suarez S. (Pen),
  • 7, Collier E. (Pen),
  • 7, McIllhatton S. (Pen),
  • 8, O'Brien J. (Pen),
  • 8, Centeno E. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
43.7%
Draw
27.7%
Birmingham Legion
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 26.7% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 26.2% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.06)
    3.32
    (3.41)
    3.21
    (3.14)
    8.9%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Indy might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Indy won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    04.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1
    19.10.2024 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 3:2
    09.06.2024 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1
    09.08.2023 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 4:0
    17.06.2023 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 2:1
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    Which TV channels are streaming of Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    brazilBrazilDisney+
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    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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