Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, IN).

: WNBA

Match Stats


Field Goals Attempted
62	73
Field Goals Made
32	36
Field Goals %
51.6%	49.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
38	52
2-Point Field Goals Made
21	29
2-Point Field Goals %
55.3%	55.8%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
24	21
3-Point Field Goals Made
11	7
3-Point Field Goals %
45.8%	33.3%
Free Throws Attempted
38	26
Free Throws Made
32	22
Free Throws %
84.2%	84.6%
Offensive Rebounds
6	6
Defensive Rebounds
27	25
Total Rebounds
33	31
Assists
19	18
Blocks
2	1
Turnovers
16	17
Steals
8	9
Personal Fouls
26	28

Chances of winning

Indiana Fever
39.1%

Phoenix Mercury
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indiana Fever has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indiana Fever's form might have worsened.

Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Mercury's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana Fever than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indiana Fever, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Mercury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.04)		1.56 ↓ (1.72)	5% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

What is the prediction for Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Indiana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Indiana Fever will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:84.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 5.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Indiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Phoenix could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Indiana will win today's game, with odds of 2.48.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1612:1783. (average 80.6:89.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 848:892. (average 84.8:89.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Indiana Fever won against Phoenix Mercury?

Indiana Fever has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Mercury won against Indiana Fever?

Phoenix Mercury has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:

16.08.2024 Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury 98:89

12.07.2024 Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury 95:86

30.06.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever 82:88

20.08.2023 Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever 73:83

01.08.2023 Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury 72:71

Latest results of Indiana Fever

27.07.2025 Chicago Sky - Indiana Fever 78:93 ✺

24.07.2025 Indiana Fever - Las Vegas Aces 80:70 ✺

22.07.2025 New York Liberty - Indiana Fever 98:84 ✺

16.07.2025 New York Liberty - Indiana Fever 98:77 ✺

15.07.2025 Connecticut Sun - Indiana Fever 77:85 ✺

Latest results of Phoenix Mercury

27.07.2025 Washington Mystics - Phoenix Mercury 72:88 ✺

25.07.2025 New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury 89:76 ✺

23.07.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream 79:90 ✺

16.07.2025 Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury 79:66 ✺

14.07.2025 Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury 77:78 ✺

WNBA Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Minnesota Lynx W	28	23	5	2418:2128	0.821
2	Phoenix Mercury W	26	16	10	2179:2103	0.615
3	Seattle Storm W	27	16	11	2178:2094	0.593
4	Las Vegas Aces W	27	14	13	2204:2221	0.519
5	Golden State Valkyries W	26	13	13	2036:2030	0.500
6	Los Angeles Sparks W	26	11	15	2200:2271	0.423
7	Dallas Wings W	28	8	20	2302:2422	0.286

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	New York Liberty W	26	17	9	2285:2116	0.654
2	Atlanta Dream W	27	16	11	2258:2136	0.593
3	Indiana Fever W	27	15	12	2301:2191	0.556
4	Washington Mystics W	27	13	14	2123:2161	0.481
5	Chicago Sky W	26	7	19	2005:2280	0.269
6	Connecticut Sun W	25	4	21	1865:2201	0.160

Overall Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Minnesota Lynx W	28	23	5	2418:2128	0.821
2	New York Liberty W	26	17	9	2285:2116	0.654
3	Phoenix Mercury W	26	16	10	2179:2103	0.615
4	Atlanta Dream W	27	16	11	2258:2136	0.593
5	Seattle Storm W	27	16	11	2178:2094	0.593
6	Indiana Fever W	27	15	12	2301:2191	0.556
7	Las Vegas Aces W	27	14	13	2204:2221	0.519
8	Golden State Valkyries W	26	13	13	2036:2030	0.500
9	Washington Mystics W	27	13	14	2123:2161	0.481
10	Los Angeles Sparks W	26	11	15	2200:2271	0.423
11	Dallas Wings W	28	8	20	2302:2422	0.286
12	Chicago Sky W	26	7	19	2005:2280	0.269
13	Connecticut Sun W	25	4	21	1865:2201	0.160

Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: