Independiente Santa Fe vs Once Caldas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas
Result
1:0
16/06/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 5
  • Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.65
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
77% (223/290)81% (296/366)
Yellow Cards
26
Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.32
Total shots
186
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
2313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
149
Passes
77% (223/290)81% (296/366)
Long passes
43% (19/44)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
67% (85/126)65% (66/101)
Crosses
33% (5/15)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.38
Throw-ins
219
Fouls
914
Tackles
100% (9/9)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3330
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.321.17
Goals prevented
0.320.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Cardona J. 🟨,
  • 42', Zuleta M. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Rodallega H. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Moreno V. , Ramirez D. ,
  • 59', Barrios M. 🟨,
  • 66', Melendez J. 🟨,
  • 68', Beltran E. , Contreras J. ,
  • 68', Moreno D. 🟨,
  • 70', Rodas M. 🟨,
  • 73', Rodas M. , Riquett J. ,
  • 73', Moreno D. , Alvarez G. ,
  • 74', Angulo J. , Torres J. ,
  • 77', Olivera E. 🟨,
  • 82', Contreras J. 🟨,
  • 85', Castano J. , Zapata Ramirez J. A. ,
  • 90+6', Velasquez Y. , Perlaza Perea Y. A. ,
  • 90+6', Melendez J. , Molina T. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mttjk5b2

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
53.3%
Draw
27.9%
Once Caldas
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.9% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 27.1% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.8)
    3.34
    (3.25)
    4.92
    (4.2)
    7%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 and 4)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4.
    • Recent performances by Santa Fe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Once Caldas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Santa Fe is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas were as follows:
    05.06.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    15.03.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1
    08.11.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas 2:1
    23.05.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas 1:0
    18.05.2024 Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe 0:0
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Final
    1Santa FeInd. Medellin2 : 1, 0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas?
    It is being streamed on channel
    south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
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