Result
1:0
16/06/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 5
- Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.10 | 0.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
77% (223/290) | 81% (296/366) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 6 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.10 | 0.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.17 | 0.32 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
77% (223/290) | 81% (296/366) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (19/44) | 51% (26/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (85/126) | 65% (66/101) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (5/15) | 31% (4/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.95 | 0.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (9/9) | 56% (5/9) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 30 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.32 | 1.17 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.32 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 42', Zuleta M. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Rodallega H. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Moreno V. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 59', Barrios M. 🟨,
- 66', Melendez J. 🟨,
- 68', Beltran E. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
- 68', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 70', Rodas M. 🟨,
- 73', Rodas M. ↓, Riquett J. ↑,
- 73', Moreno D. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
- 74', Angulo J. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 77', Olivera E. 🟨,
- 82', Contreras J. 🟨,
- 85', Castano J. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 90+6', Velasquez Y. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
- 90+6', Melendez J. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mttjk5b2
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe 53.3% | Draw 27.9% | Once Caldas 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.8) |
3.34 ↑ (3.25) |
4.92 ↑ (4.2) |
7% (10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4.
- Recent performances by Santa Fe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Once Caldas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Santa Fe is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Once Caldas?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Once Caldas has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas were as follows:
05.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
15.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
08.11.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Once Caldas
2:1
23.05.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Once Caldas
1:0
18.05.2024
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:0
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Once Caldas
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsFinal1 | Santa Fe | Ind. Medellin | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
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South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |