Independiente Santa Fe vs Once Caldas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas
Result
1:2
01/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.67
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
81% (328/406)79% (245/310)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.971.31
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
81% (328/406)79% (245/310)
Long passes
44% (21/48)45% (29/65)
Passes in final third
67% (95/141)70% (70/100)
Crosses
17% (4/23)0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.47
Throw-ins
2517
Fouls
1612
Tackles
67% (4/6)92% (11/12)
Duels won
3839
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
616
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.310.97
Goals prevented
-0.69-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Barrios M. (Pen),
  • 9', Torres D. 🟨,
  • 23', Murillo E. 🟨,
  • 30', Tamayo K. 🟨,
  • 34', Garcia M. , Rojas I. ,
  • 35', Murillo E. , Lopez E. ,
  • 42', Aguirre J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Mosquera H. , Perlaza E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tamayo K. , Castano J. ,
  • 50', Perlaza E. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Barrios M. , Zapata Ramirez J. A. (A),
  • 56', Perlaza E. , Tamayo S. ,
  • 56', Rodriguez A. , Rodallega H. ,
  • 61', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
  • 66', Sosa J. , Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ,
  • 67', Torres D. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 72', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 77', Zapata Ramirez J. A. , Gomez P. ,
  • 77', Zuleta M. , Palacios L. ,
  • 82', Sanchez L. , Garcia Castillo A. ,
  • 87', Mejia R. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/evtushhw

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
41.1%
Draw
30.8%
Once Caldas
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 31.1% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 30.3% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Santa Fe's form might have worsened.
  • Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Caldas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.01)
    3.21
    (3.03)
    3.44
    (4.26)
    1.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 5.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Santa Fe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas were as follows:
    16.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas 1:0
    05.06.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    15.03.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1
    08.11.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas 2:1
    23.05.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas 1:0
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior1062221:13820
    2Ind. Medellin961216:10619
    3Deportes Tolima1052310:7317
    4Llaneros1052310:9117
    5Bucaramanga851217:9816
    6Atl. Nacional944115:8716
    7Fortaleza936013:9415
    8Santa Fe93339:10-112
    9Pereira103349:10-112
    10Alianza1033410:15-512
    11U. Magdalena1032511:16-511
    12Envigado92438:9-110
    13La Equidad92436:9-310
    14Dep. Cali924311:15-410
    15Chico102447:11-410
    16Dep. Pasto823310:1009
    17Once Caldas92349:12-39
    18Millonarios821510:12-27
    19Aguilas91449:14-57
    20America De Cali71245:8-35

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
    usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2
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