Independiente Santa Fe vs Inter Bogotá: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
3:1
03/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.620.65
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
74
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
41
Passes
79% (266/338)75% (231/306)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
2.620.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.750.76
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
76
Blocked shots
08
Shots inside the box
114
Shots outside the box
314
Hit the woodwork
21
Headed goals
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
85
Passes
79% (266/338)75% (231/306)
Long passes
50% (25/50)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
64% (72/112)64% (67/104)
Crosses
44% (7/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.35
Throw ins
2315
Fouls
58
Tackles
69% (9/13)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4427
Clearances
1221
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.762.75
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Quinones D. 🟨,
  • 18', Caballero J. 🟨,
  • 43', Fagundez F. , Bustos N. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Perlaza Perea Y. A. , Obrian J. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Sanguinetti F. , Poveda I. (A),
  • 50', Poveda I. 🟨,
  • 50', Fagundez F. 🟨,
  • 54', Toscano Bassa K. D. , Zapata A. ,
  • 56', Sanguinetti F. , Valencia J. ,
  • 64', Mafla C. , Angulo J. ,
  • 64', Torres D. , Torres J. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Rodallega H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 71', Poveda I. , Rodas M. ,
  • 72', Bone F. , Caballero J. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Olivera E. , Fernandez O. (A),
  • 75', Palacios M. 🟨,
  • 78', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
  • 79', Rodallega H. 🟨,
  • 80', Suarez K. , Caicedo B. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Bustos N. , Rodallega H. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3xp2d55d

Official Live

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
46.6%
Draw
29.3%
Inter Bogotá
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 29.1% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 28.3% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Inter Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.82)
    3.21
    (3.2)
    3.89
    (4.7)
    7.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá?
    • Users Predictions: Independiente Santa Fe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Santa Fe will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Santa Fe is seen as the favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
    Latest results of Inter Bogotá
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Nacional (1)Inter Bogotu00e1 (8)7 : 1, 2 : 1
    2Dep. Pasto (3)Deportes Tolima (6)0 : 2, 0 : 1
    3Junior (2)Once Caldas (5)2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4America De Cali (4)Santa Fe (7)0 : 4, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Nacional (1)Deportes Tolima (6)3 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Junior (2)Santa Fe (7)1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Nacional (1)Junior (2)0 : 3
    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
    south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
    usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2
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