Envigado vs Independiente Santa Fe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/02/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado).

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 7

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.83	1.71
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Goal Attempts
14	11
Shots on Goal
4	7
Shots off Goal
8	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	5
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
Free Kicks
11	9
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
9	11
Yellow Cards
4	2
Throw-ins
23	12
Touches in the Opposition Box
14	13
Passes
81% (273/336)	79% (263/332)
Passes in the final third
72% (77/107)	70% (55/79)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	18% (2/11)
Tackles
93% (14/15)	91% (10/11)
Clearances Total
14	26
Interceptions
10	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
8', Cuervo S. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Garces J. ⚽, Palacios D. (A),
19', 1 - 2, Rodallega H. ⚽, Zapata A. (A),
36', Murillo E. 🟨,
36', Lopez E. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 3, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Cuervo S. ↓, Uribe N. ↑,
46', Palacio J. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
46', Dawson D. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
46', Murillo E. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
51', 1 - 4, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
58', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
59', Ramirez C. 🟨,
63', Lopez E. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
64', Murillo B. 🟨,
66', Zapata A. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
66', Mafla C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
67', 1 - 5, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
71', Velasquez Y. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
72', 1 - 6, Murillo B. (Own goal),
76', Mosquera H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
79', 1 - 7, Rodriguez A. (Pen),
84', Palacios D. ↓, Gamboa Valencia J. J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/v3efp6a8

Chances of winning

Envigado
24.5%

Draw
30.8%

Independiente Santa Fe
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

31.1%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

27.5%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Envigado have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.8)	3 (3)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)	7.4% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Envigado won 1.
Recent matches Envigado is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Santa Fe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Santa Fe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Envigado won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 15:33 (average 0.8:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Envigado won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Independiente Santa Fe?

Envigado has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Envigado?

Independiente Santa Fe has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:

20.07.2024 Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1

27.01.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado 3:1

23.08.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado 2:0

04.03.2023 Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe 3:2

02.10.2022 Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado 1:0

Latest results of Envigado

24.02.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Envigado 1:2 ✺

17.02.2025 Envigado - Deportivo Pasto 0:1 ✺

13.02.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Envigado 2:3 ✺

09.02.2025 Envigado - Independiente Medellín 0:1 ✺

02.02.2025 Deportivo Cali - Envigado 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe

25.02.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Iquique 2:2 ✺

18.02.2025 Deportes Iquique - Independiente Santa Fe 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 América de Cali - Independiente Santa Fe 2:0 ✺

12.02.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional 2:2 ✺

07.02.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	5	4	1	0	13:5	8	13
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	6:1	5	11
3	Fortaleza	5	2	3	0	8:6	2	9
4	Santa Fe	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9
5	Atl. Nacional	5	2	2	1	8:5	3	8
6	Ind. Medellin	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
7	Pereira	5	2	1	2	6:6	0	7
8	Deportes Tolima	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
9	Envigado	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
10	Chico	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
11	Alianza	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
12	La Equidad	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
13	Dep. Cali	5	1	2	2	4:8	-4	5
14	Bucaramanga	3	1	1	1	6:5	1	4
15	Dep. Pasto	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4
16	America De Cali	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
17	U. Magdalena	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
18	Aguilas	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3
19	Once Caldas	4	0	1	3	5:9	-4	1
20	Millonarios	3	0	0	3	0:3	-3	0

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Envigado - Independiente Santa Fe?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America