Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Santa Fe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe
20/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Deportivo Pasto
31.3%
Draw
31.2%
Independiente Santa Fe
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 31.2% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 31.5% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.85)
    2.88
    (2.99)
    2.58
    (2.6)
    6.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.
    • Deportivo Pasto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Santa Fe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto 1:1
    02.12.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto 1:2
    29.11.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe 1:0
    17.07.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto 2:1
    22.01.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior1163222:14821
    2Fortaleza1156015:9621
    3Bucaramanga1062218:9920
    4Deportes Tolima1162314:7720
    5Ind. Medellin1062219:13620
    6Llaneros1153310:9118
    7Atl. Nacional1145218:12617
    8Santa Fe1144311:10116
    9Alianza1143413:15-215
    10Dep. Cali1135313:16-314
    11Pereira113449:10-113
    12Once Caldas1134410:12-213
    13Envigado112549:11-211
    14Millonarios1132611:15-411
    15La Equidad112547:11-411
    16U. Magdalena1132611:18-711
    17Chico112457:15-810
    18Dep. Pasto1023511:13-29
    19Aguilas1015410:15-58
    20America De Cali91355:9-46

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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