Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Santa Fe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto).

: Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	1.79
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
13	20
Shots on target
5	8
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	8
Passes
80% (223/280)	82% (321/393)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	1.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.15	1.69
Total shots
13	20
Shots on target
5	8
Shots off target
6	10
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
5	15
Shots outside the Box
8	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
8	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
8	15
Passes
80% (223/280)	82% (321/393)
Long passes
53% (33/62)	55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
68% (63/92)	67% (95/142)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	25% (8/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.30	1.55
Throw-ins
21	22
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
50% (6/12)	93% (14/15)
Duels won
33	42
Clearances
46	22
Interceptions
4	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
xGOT faced
1.69	1.15
Goals prevented
0.69	0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Torres D. 🟨,
36', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
44', Rios J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Torres D. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Valois Y. ⚽,
52', Velasquez Y. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
52', Perlaza E. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
64', Castillo D. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
64', Ordonez F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
73', Castano M. 🟨,
74', Murillo E. 🟨,
75', Murillo E. ↓, Tamayo S. ↑,
76', Mendez J. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
85', Bone F. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Mafla C. ⚽,
90', Lopez E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3uvd9xt7

Chances of winning

Deportivo Pasto
27.8%

Draw
34.4%

Independiente Santa Fe
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

31.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

31.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.85)	2.69 ↓ (2.99)	2.52 ↓ (2.6)	5.9% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.
Deportivo Pasto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Santa Fe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Independiente Santa Fe?

Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportivo Pasto?

Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:

04.04.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto 1:1

02.12.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto 1:2

29.11.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe 1:0

17.07.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto 2:1

22.01.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1

Latest results of Deportivo Pasto

14.09.2025 Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pasto 2:1 ✺

10.09.2025 Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto 1:0 ✺

05.09.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto 0:0 ✺

28.08.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe

14.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena 2:0 ✺

09.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar 4:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe 0:0 ✺

01.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas 1:2 ✺

28.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	14	8	3	3	25:12	13	27
2	Junior	14	7	4	3	26:17	9	25
3	Fortaleza	14	6	7	1	19:13	6	25
4	Atl. Nacional	14	6	6	2	23:16	7	24
5	Ind. Medellin	13	7	3	3	25:19	6	24
6	Deportes Tolima	14	7	2	5	17:12	5	23
7	Santa Fe	13	5	5	3	15:11	4	20
8	Dep. Cali	14	5	5	4	19:19	0	20
9	Alianza	14	5	5	4	19:19	0	20
10	Once Caldas	14	5	4	5	17:16	1	19
11	Llaneros	14	5	4	5	11:13	-2	19
12	Aguilas	14	4	5	5	18:20	-2	17
13	Millonarios	14	5	2	7	16:20	-4	17
14	Pereira	14	3	6	5	12:14	-2	15
15	U. Magdalena	14	4	3	7	17:24	-7	15
16	America De Cali	14	3	5	6	11:13	-2	14
17	Envigado	14	2	7	5	11:14	-3	13
18	Chico	14	2	6	6	11:22	-11	12
19	Dep. Pasto	14	2	5	7	15:21	-6	11
20	La Equidad	14	2	5	7	7:19	-12	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2