Result
1:2
12/06/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 4
- Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (283/354) | 85% (323/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (283/354) | 85% (323/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 56% (34/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (59/92) | 69% (68/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Morelos A. (Pen),
- 15', Roman A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
- 19', Arce B. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 1, Rodallega H. ⚽,
- 31', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 2, Morelos A. ⚽, Candido C. (A),
- 45+9', Morelos A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mosquera H. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 46', Torres J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 62', Torres D. ↓, Murillo E. ↑,
- 66', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 67', Morelos A. ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
- 67', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 73', Asprilla D. 🟨,
- 73', Perlaza E. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
- 84', Velasquez Y. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
- 87', Arce B. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 90+4', Ospina D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mspykv4p
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
26.7% | Draw
29.8% | Atlético Nacional
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.47 ↑
(3.34) |
3.11 ↓
(3.24) |
2.14 ↓
(2.17) |
7.7%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 1.
- Santa Fe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Atlético Nacional's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of away games.
- Atlético Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Atlético Nacional has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
08.06.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
12.02.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Nacional
2:2
08.12.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Nacional
0:3
20.11.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Santa Fe
5:0
04.11.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsFinal| 1 | Santa Fe | Ind. Medellin | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
