Result
1:1
25/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.45 | 1.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
88% (383/436) | 84% (315/375) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.45 | 1.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.98 | 0.98 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
88% (383/436) | 84% (315/375) |
Long passes |
---|
64% (23/36) | 38% (15/39) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (69/91) | 80% (87/109) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (3/17) | 8% (1/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.57 | 0.80 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (9/17) | 93% (14/15) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 32 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.98 | 0.98 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.02 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Cardona E. (Pen),
- 23', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 31', Castro J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Uribe M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 46', Morelos A. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 46', Murillo E. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Mosquera H. (Pen),
- 61', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 65', Torres D. 🟨,
- 68', Sarmiento A. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 71', Perlaza E. ↓, Velasquez Y. ↑,
- 80', Cardona E. ↓, Obando J. ↑,
- 81', Torres J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 82', Moreno V. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
- 87', Hinestroza M. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 90', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4r68yv6n
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional 67.7% | Draw 20.1% | Independiente Santa Fe 12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.45) |
4.64 ↑ (4.23) |
7.67 ↑ (6.72) |
5.4% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
- Atlético Nacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santa Fe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:15. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Atlético Nacional has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
12.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
08.06.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
12.02.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Nacional
2:2
08.12.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Nacional
0:3
20.11.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Santa Fe
5:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Fortaleza | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
4 | Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
5 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
6 | Chico | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
7 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
8 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
9 | America De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Envigado | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Pereira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
13 | La Equidad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
14 | Aguilas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Dep. Cali | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
16 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
18 | Once Caldas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
19 | U. Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |