Independiente Medellín vs Millonarios: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Independiente Medellín - Millonarios
Result
1:0
03/08/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
Independiente Medellín - Millonarios - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.40
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
77% (191/249)86% (400/464)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.210.18
Total shots
712
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
109
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
77% (191/249)86% (400/464)
Long passes
38% (20/52)56% (29/52)
Passes in final third
57% (40/70)67% (78/117)
Crosses
25% (2/8)8% (2/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.24
Throw-ins
1117
Fouls
1116
Tackles
87% (13/15)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4229
Clearances
3110
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.181.21
Goals prevented
0.180.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Ortiz J. ,
  • 23', Arias J. 🟨,
  • 23', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
  • 28', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Chaverra F. , Alvarado J. ,
  • 61', Mosquera E. , Canozales C. ,
  • 67', Palacios H. 🟨,
  • 74', Castro A. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 75', Loboa H. , Arizala J. ,
  • 75', Fydriszewski F. , Valencia J. ,
  • 85', Garcia M. , Segura N. ,
  • 86', Mena Perea E. , Moreno D. ,
  • 90+3', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Chaux E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5ymtwfa8

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
47.1%
Draw
30.3%
Millonarios
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 30.9% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.3% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.
  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millonarios might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Millonarios Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.29)
    3.28
    (3.03)
    4.58
    (3.31)
    1.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Millonarios?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Millonarios will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Millonarios were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Millonarios - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    18.07.2024 Independiente Medellín - Millonarios 1:1
    21.01.2024 Millonarios - Independiente Medellín 5:0
    30.11.2023 Independiente Medellín - Millonarios 2:1
    26.11.2023 Millonarios - Independiente Medellín 1:0
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Atl. Nacional632111:5611
    3Llaneros53206:1511
    4Deportes Tolima63125:4110
    5Fortaleza52308:629
    6Santa Fe62317:619
    7Bucaramanga42118:627
    8Ind. Medellin52127:707
    9Pereira52126:607
    10Dep. Cali61327:11-46
    11Dep. Pasto31206:515
    12Envigado41215:505
    13Chico51226:7-15
    14La Equidad51223:5-25
    15U. Magdalena51223:7-45
    16Alianza61235:10-55
    17America De Cali41123:4-14
    18Aguilas60426:8-24
    19Once Caldas50236:10-42
    20Millonarios40133:6-31

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Medellín - Millonarios?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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