Independiente Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Copa Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín
01/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
46.1%
Draw
27.6%
Independiente Medellín
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 30.1% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 29.2% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.13)
    3.34
    (3.07)
    3.45
    (3.48)
    8.7%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2.
    • Santa Fe is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of home games.
    • Santa Fe could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    29.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    24.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:0
    14.04.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 1:2
    18.10.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    Draw
    Second stage

    1/8-finals
    1Ind. MedellinFortaleza2 : 1, 0 : 0
    2Santa FeAlianza4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Real CundinamarcaPereira2 : 2, 3 : 4
    4MillonariosEnvigado0 : 0, 0 : 1
    5America De CaliBucaramanga2 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Atletico F.C.Junior2 : 1, 0 : 2
    7Atl. NacionalQuindio2 : 2, 4 : 0
    8Once CaldasDep. Pasto2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ind. MedellinSanta Fe1 : 2
    2PereiraEnvigado
    3America De CaliJunior
    4Atl. NacionalTBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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