Independiente Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín
Result
1:2
14/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.67
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
20
Passes
78% (274/351)76% (210/275)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.43
Total shots
711
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
20
Touches in opposition box
1117
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
616
Passes
78% (274/351)76% (210/275)
Long passes
51% (29/57)53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
58% (47/81)55% (38/69)
Crosses
15% (2/13)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.180.29
Fouls
166
Tackles
83% (5/6)83% (10/12)
Duels won
1539
Clearances Total
518
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.431.05
Goals prevented
-0.570.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Murillo E. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Chaverra F. , Mosquera J. (A),
  • 33', Aguerre W. 🟨,
  • 35', Rodallega H. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Chaverra L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Fernandez O. , Balanta M. ,
  • 47', 0 - 2, Serna A. , Fydriszewski F. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 2, Rodallega H. (Pen),
  • 58', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
  • 63', Ortiz J. 🟨,
  • 75', Murillo E. , Velasquez Y. ,
  • 76', Torres J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 76', Olivera E. , Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ,
  • 76', Martinez Yepez H. E. , Alvarado J. ,
  • 77', Serna A. , Berrio L. ,
  • 82', Fydriszewski F. , Sandoval L. ,
  • 83', Chaverra F. , Arizala J. ,
  • 85', Zapata A. , Albornoz O. ,
  • 86', Albornoz O. 🟨,
  • 88', Mosquera H. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3tc7nv54

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
34.3%
Draw
30%
Independiente Medellín
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 28.7% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 28.4% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Santa Fe's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.33)
    3.09
    (3.2)
    2.63
    (2.88)
    7.1%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Ind Medellín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:13 (average 1:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santa Fe won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    10.02.2024 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1
    02.08.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 1:0
    04.02.2023 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 19105435:181735
    2Millonarios ✔ 19105426:151135
    3Junior ✔ 1997323:14934
    4America De Cali ✔ 1896325:121333
    5Santa Fe ✔ 1996427:171033
    6Deportes Tolima ✔ 1896326:161033
    7Ind. Medellin1878317:9829
    8Once Caldas1783621:20127
    9Bucaramanga1975722:19326
    10Dep. Pasto1875617:17026
    11Alianza1975717:20-326
    12Pereira1867519:19025
    13Dep. Cali1959514:16-224
    14Fortaleza1955915:24-920
    15Chico1948712:27-1520
    16Aguilas1939715:18-318
    17Envigado19531115:27-1218
    18Llaneros18521117:24-717
    19La Equidad19241313:32-1910
    20U. Magdalena1708913:25-128

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Millonarios is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Santa Fe is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
    mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
    usaUsaFanatiz
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