Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Cali: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/03/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín).

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 9
Referee: Bismark S. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.54	0.35
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Goal Attempts
26	8
Shots on Goal
5	3
Shots off Goal
15	2
Blocked Shots
6	3
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Shots inside the Box
15	2
Shots outside the Box
11	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
Free Kicks
8	11
Offsides
0	3
Fouls
11	8
Yellow Cards
5	3
Throw-ins
32	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
36	9
Passes
83% (344/416)	74% (208/281)
Passes in the final third
73% (121/165)	61% (58/95)
Crosses
29% (9/31)	50% (5/10)
Tackles
100% (13/13)	56% (10/18)
Clearances Total
4	30
Interceptions
6	12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Caldera Alvis J. C. 🟨,
29', Gordillo Y. ↓, Bustamante R. ↑,
42', Leon B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
69', Londono D. 🟨,
69', Perlaza B. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
69', Chaverra F. ↓, Rodallega Y. ↑,
70', Barrera J. ↓, Estupinan A. ↑,
71', Rodriguez E. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
77', Berrio L. 🟨,
77', Leon B. ↓, Fydriszewski F. ↑,
78', Moreno D. ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
81', Gomez Mosquera Y. A. ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
81', Colorado J. ↓, Corujo G. ↑,
86', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
86', Estupinan A. 🟨,
88', Chaverra L. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ycymmmy4

Chances of winning

Independiente Medellín
62.2%

Draw
23.9%

Deportivo Cali
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.5%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

21.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)	3.93 ↓ (4.1)	6.61 ↑ (6.5)	7% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : Nuestra Tele

What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 50.5% – 99.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 2.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Ind Medellín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ind Medellín is absolute favorite.
Our prediction for today's Ind Medellín to win the game is with odds 1.52.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:28 (average 1.6:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:11 (average 1.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Deportivo Cali?

Independiente Medellín has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Independiente Medellín?

Deportivo Cali has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali were as follows:

04.08.2024 Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín 2:0

05.02.2024 Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali 1:0

22.09.2023 Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín 2:2

12.04.2023 Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali 3:0

Latest results of Independiente Medellín

08.03.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Medellín 0:0 ✺

03.03.2025 Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto 1:0 ✺

27.02.2025 Independiente Medellín - Llaneros SA 3:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Millonarios - Independiente Medellín 0:1 ✺

12.02.2025 Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Cali

10.03.2025 Deportivo Cali - Boyacá Chicó 0:0 ✺

03.03.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Cali 2:2 ✺

23.02.2025 Deportivo Cali - Millonarios 3:1 ✺

18.02.2025 Llaneros SA - Deportivo Cali 0:1 ✺

14.02.2025 Deportivo Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	5	4	1	0	13:5	8	13
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	6:1	5	11
3	Fortaleza	5	2	3	0	8:6	2	9
4	Santa Fe	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9
5	Atl. Nacional	5	2	2	1	8:5	3	8
6	Ind. Medellin	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
7	Pereira	5	2	1	2	6:6	0	7
8	Deportes Tolima	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
9	Envigado	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
10	Chico	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
11	Alianza	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
12	La Equidad	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
13	Dep. Cali	5	1	2	2	4:8	-4	5
14	Bucaramanga	3	1	1	1	6:5	1	4
15	Dep. Pasto	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4
16	America De Cali	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
17	U. Magdalena	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
18	Aguilas	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3
19	Once Caldas	4	0	1	3	5:9	-4	1
20	Millonarios	3	0	0	3	0:3	-3	0

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz