Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellín: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín
Result
1:3
30/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 9
Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.17
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
76% (210/275)87% (471/539)
Yellow Cards
27
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.711.11
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
69
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
811
Passes
76% (210/275)87% (471/539)
Long passes
46% (25/54)63% (30/48)
Passes in final third
67% (64/95)73% (62/85)
Crosses
29% (4/14)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.50
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
118
Tackles
88% (7/8)60% (3/5)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.110.71
Goals prevented
-1.89-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Quinones J. , Aguilar F. ,
  • 26', Leon B. 🟨,
  • 26', Chaverra F. 🟨,
  • 33', Torijano F. 🟨,
  • 39', Castillo F. 🟥,
  • 44', Estupinan A. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Ortiz J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Estupinan A. , Graciano C. ,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Perlaza B. , Leon B. (A),
  • 52', 0 - 2, Fydriszewski F. ,
  • 61', Bustamante R. , Orozco M. ,
  • 63', Leon B. , Sandoval L. ,
  • 63', Torijano F. , Palacios J. ,
  • 63', Barrera J. , Garcia M. ,
  • 68', Loboa H. 🟨,
  • 72', Loboa H. , Alvarado J. ,
  • 76', Aguilar F. 🟨,
  • 76', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
  • 80', Martinez J. , Mimbacas F. ,
  • 80', Corujo G. , Correa A. ,
  • 81', Palacios J. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Hurtado A. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Fydriszewski F. , Serna A. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 3, Sandoval L. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ykt96jw7

Chances of winning


Deportivo Cali
26.5%
Draw
31.1%
Independiente Medellín
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 31% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 31.7% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Cali's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Medellín's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.6
    (2.97)
    3
    (3.04)
    2.17
    (2.53)
    7.1%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín?
  • Users Predictions: Independiente Medellín will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 1.
    • In recent matches, Deportivo Cali has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ind Medellín is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deportivo Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of away games.
    • Ind Medellín will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    04.08.2024 Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín 2:0
    05.02.2024 Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali 1:0
    22.09.2023 Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín 2:2
    12.04.2023 Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali 3:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Cali
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1483325:121327
    2Junior1474326:17925
    3Fortaleza1467119:13625
    4Atl. Nacional1466223:16724
    5Ind. Medellin1373325:19624
    6Deportes Tolima1472517:12523
    7Santa Fe1355315:11420
    8Dep. Cali1455419:19020
    9Alianza1455419:19020
    10Once Caldas1454517:16119
    11Llaneros1454511:13-219
    12Aguilas1445518:20-217
    13Millonarios1452716:20-417
    14Pereira1436512:14-215
    15U. Magdalena1443717:24-715
    16America De Cali1435611:13-214
    17Envigado1427511:14-313
    18Chico1426611:22-1112
    19Dep. Pasto1425715:21-611
    20La Equidad142577:19-1211

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
    south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
    usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2
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