Independiente Medellín vs Alianza Valledupar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar
13/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
66.9%
Draw
21.4%
Alianza Valledupar
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 23.2% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 23% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.45)
    4.3
    (4)
    7.97
    (7.2)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 3.
    • In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alianza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ind Medellín is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    10.10.2024 Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar 2:0
    24.02.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 2:0
    20.08.2023 Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar 2:1
    26.02.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional11003:123
    2America De Cali10100:001
    3Llaneros10100:001
    4Chico00000:000
    5Ind. Medellin00000:000
    6Santa Fe00000:000
    7La Equidad00000:000
    8Envigado00000:000
    9Dep. Cali00000:000
    10Bucaramanga00000:000
    11Dep. Pasto00000:000
    12Deportes Tolima00000:000
    13Junior00000:000
    14Millonarios00000:000
    15Pereira00000:000
    16Aguilas00000:000
    17U. Magdalena00000:000
    18Alianza00000:000
    19Fortaleza00000:000
    20Once Caldas10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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