Universitario de Deportes vs Independiente del Valle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle
Result
1:1
08/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.38
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
76% (257/337)82% (393/477)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.901.22
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
516
Passes
76% (257/337)82% (393/477)
Long passes
47% (25/53)35% (17/48)
Passes in final third
70% (96/138)72% (60/83)
Crosses
25% (7/28)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.61
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
165
Tackles
56% (9/16)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4464
Clearances
1539
Interceptions
175
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.221.90
Goals prevented
0.220.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Carabali J. ,
  • 43', Mercado P. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Costa G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ibarra R. , Medina J. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez A. , Mendez J. ,
  • 49', Concha J. 🟨,
  • 64', Concha J. , Velez J. ,
  • 64', Valera A. , Diego Churin ,
  • 71', Carabali J. 🟨,
  • 72', Inga C. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 72', Flores E. , Rivera J. ,
  • 74', Spinelli C. , Hoyos M. ,
  • 74', Cazares , Sornoza J. ,
  • 79', Urena R. , Costa G. ,
  • 88', Mercado P. , Zabala C. ,

Chances of winning


Universitario de Deportes
44.6%
Draw
30%
Independiente del Valle
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 30.2% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 31.9% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.17)
    3.12
    (3.12)
    3.71
    (3.59)
    6.1%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Uni de Deportes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Muscle Injury) Perez M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ind del Valle: Paez K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - Universitario de Deportes 1:0
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P43017:259
    2U. De Chile42114:5-17
    3Botafogo RJ42024:316
    4Carabobo40132:7-51


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate42206:428
    2Ind. del Valle41214:405
    3Barcelona SC41123:4-14
    4U. de Deportes41122:3-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito42205:238
    2Central Cordoba42205:328
    3Flamengo RJ41213:305
    4Dep. Tachira40043:8-50


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo ✔ 43107:2510
    2Libertad Asuncion42113:217
    3Alianza Lima41125:7-24
    4Talleres Cordoba40132:6-41


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club42119:367
    2Fortaleza42118:447
    3Bucaramanga41216:9-35
    4Colo Colo40224:11-72


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bahia42114:407
    2Atl. Nacional42026:516
    3Internacional41218:715
    4Nacional41126:8-24


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras44009:4512
    2Cerro Porteno41126:7-14
    3Sporting Cristal41126:9-34
    4Bolivar41038:9-13


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield42118:447
    2Penarol42116:247
    3SA Bulo Bulo42025:8-36
    4Olimpia Asuncion40223:8-52

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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