Técnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Bellavista (Ambato).

: Liga Pro - Round 12
Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.81	2.07
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
19	14
Shots on target
9	9
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	10
Passes
81% (249/309)	88% (445/503)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81	2.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.59	3.79
Total shots
19	14
Shots on target
9	9
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
12	12
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	10
Touches in opposition box
24	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
7	13
Passes
81% (249/309)	88% (445/503)
Long passes
52% (27/52)	60% (36/60)
Passes in final third
72% (65/90)	77% (73/95)
Crosses
43% (10/23)	39% (9/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	2.26
Throw-ins
13	13
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
83% (10/12)	75% (12/16)
Duels won
37	43
Clearances
18	29
Interceptions
3	2
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	8
xGOT faced
3.79	1.59
Goals prevented
1.79	0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Pata E. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Torres E. 🟨,
56', Sornoza J. 🟨,
64', Caicedo J. 🟨,
66', Sornoza J. ↓, Cazares ↑,
66', Ibarra R. ↓,
71', Hoyos M. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
76', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
77', Corozo B. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Julio M. ⚽,
87', Zabala C. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
87', Cortez G. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
89', Caicedo J. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Spinelli C. ⚽, Pata E. (A),
90+4', Medina J. 🟨,
90+4', Luzarraga R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Técnico Universitario
32%

Draw
29%

Independiente del Valle
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.9%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.9%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 (2.88)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	2.4 ↑ (2.35)	7.6% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Independiente del Valle?

Técnico Universitario has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Técnico Universitario?

Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle were as follows:

25.08.2024 Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario 1:0

21.03.2024 Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle 1:1

23.09.2023 Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle 2:2

22.04.2023 Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario 1:0

10.10.2022 Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario 0:1

Latest results of Técnico Universitario

03.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Emelec - Técnico Universitario 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Técnico Universitario - Vinotinto 1:3 ✺

10.04.2025 Manta - Técnico Universitario 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

08.05.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Emelec 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Orense - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - River Plate 2:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - Manta 2:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	17	9	6	2	31:16	15	33
2	Barcelona SC	18	10	3	5	30:23	7	33
3	Dep. Cuenca	18	10	2	6	22:15	7	32
4	LDU Quito	18	8	6	4	29:19	10	30
5	Orense	18	9	3	6	21:21	0	30
6	Aucas	17	7	5	5	24:20	4	26
7	Delfin	18	6	7	5	19:23	-4	25
8	U. Catolica	17	6	6	5	28:20	8	24
9	Libertad	18	6	6	6	27:25	2	24
10	Vinotinto	17	6	4	7	25:22	3	22
11	Manta	18	4	8	6	23:30	-7	20
12	EL Nacional	17	5	4	8	22:28	-6	19
13	Macara	17	4	6	7	13:16	-3	18
14	Emelec	17	4	6	7	12:21	-9	18
15	Mushuc Runa	18	4	3	11	22:35	-13	15
16	Tecnico U	17	2	5	10	16:30	-14	11

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz