Deportivo Macará vs Independiente del Valle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Bellavista (Ambato).

: Liga Pro - Round 20

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	1.34
Ball Possession
33%	67%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
1	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
65% (131/201)	84% (362/429)
Yellow Cards
5	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	1.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.97	1.36
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
13	21
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	20
Passes
65% (131/201)	84% (362/429)
Long passes
35% (17/49)	52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
52% (43/82)	66% (69/104)
Crosses
36% (4/11)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.48	0.71
Throw-ins
24	16
Fouls
20	9
Tackles
67% (6/9)	87% (13/15)
Duels won
29	58
Clearances
16	19
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.36	0.97
Goals prevented
-0.64	-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Paz F. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Alcivar J. ⚽, Pata E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Alvarez L. 🟨,
63', Alcivar J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
63', Ibarra R. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
63', Pata E. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
67', Correa C. 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Hoyos M. (Pen),
71', Viera M. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
72', Morales J. 🟨,
77', Alvarez L. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
79', Mercado P. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
81', Mesa Mercado E. E. 🟨,
86', Guagua D. 🟨,
86', Hoyos M. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
90+2', Jimenez J. ↓, Arena N. ↑,
90+2', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
90+2', Caicedo B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Deportivo Macará
22.1%

Draw
27%

Independiente del Valle
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

26.6%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↓ (4.34)	3.42 (3.42)	1.81 ↑ (1.78)	8.4% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Ind del Valle is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Independiente del Valle?

Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Deportivo Macará?

Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle were as follows:

24.11.2024 Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará 7:0

25.05.2024 Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle 0:1

24.09.2022 Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará 1:0

Latest results of Deportivo Macará

06.07.2025 SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará 1:4 ✺

29.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 1:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto 1:0 ✺

16.06.2025 Orense - Deportivo Macará 1:0 ✺

30.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - Manta 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

05.07.2025 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle 0:3 ✺

22.06.2025 LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle 1:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Delfín - Independiente del Valle 1:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	26	16	8	2	46:20	26	56
2	Barcelona SC	26	14	5	7	38:29	9	47
3	LDU Quito	26	12	8	6	41:25	16	44
4	Dep. Cuenca	26	12	6	8	31:25	6	42
5	Libertad	26	11	8	7	40:34	6	41
6	Orense	26	12	5	9	30:30	0	41
7	U. Catolica	26	10	9	7	48:33	15	39
8	Aucas	26	11	5	10	35:37	-2	38
9	Emelec	26	9	8	9	24:29	-5	35
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	26	7	9	10	25:27	-2	30
12	Delfin	26	6	10	10	25:40	-15	28
13	Manta	26	5	10	11	31:43	-12	25
14	Tecnico U	26	6	7	13	24:37	-13	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	26	5	5	16	28:45	-17	20

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz