Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona Guayaquil: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil
Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 19
Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.78
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
86% (329/383)83% (297/359)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.871.04
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
611
Passes
86% (329/383)83% (297/359)
Long passes
59% (27/46)34% (15/44)
Passes in final third
75% (56/75)60% (44/73)
Crosses
24% (4/17)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.27
Throw-ins
815
Fouls
116
Tackles
75% (6/8)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3144
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
197
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.040.87
Goals prevented
0.04-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Arreaga X. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Guagua D. , Pata E. (A),
  • 59', Schunke R. 🟥,
  • 62', Valiente J. , Gomez J. ,
  • 65', Guagua D. , Mendez J. ,
  • 65', Cazares , Zarate L. ,
  • 67', Campi G. 🟨,
  • 73', Oyola B. , Caicedo F. ,
  • 73', Montano J. , Souza de Almeida L. ,
  • 78', Carabajal M. 🟨,
  • 82', Pata E. , Quinonez O. ,
  • 82', Briones R. , Mercado P. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. , Parrales M. (A),
  • 90', Spinelli C. 🟨,
  • 90', Spinelli C. , Hoyos M. ,
  • 90+3', Corozo J. , Solano C. ,

Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
57.2%
Draw
24.2%
Barcelona Guayaquil
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 25.7% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 25.3% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.71)
    3.81
    (3.62)
    4.98
    (4.72)
    8.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
    • Ind del Valle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Barcelona has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
    27.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:1
    01.04.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 1:0
    08.03.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 0:4
    10.08.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 3:2
    09.03.2024 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:1
    Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle ✔ 29189255:233263
    2Barcelona SC ✔ 30166846:331354
    3LDU Quito ✔ 29139745:301548
    4U. Catolica291210756:381846
    5Dep. Cuenca29137934:27746
    6Orense29137934:32246
    7Libertad291110841:36543
    8Aucas ✔ 301181138:41-341
    9Emelec291181030:34-441
    10Macara ✔ 309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional ✔ 30971432:46-1434
    12Delfin296121126:42-1630
    13Tecnico U29771525:43-1828
    14Vinotinto29761634:42-827
    15Mushuc Runa ✔ 30761738:50-1227
    16Manta ✔ 305111434:53-1926

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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