Result
2:1
27/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (394/449) | 77% (203/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (394/449) | 77% (203/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (29/47) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (85/117) | 61% (51/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Caicedo F. ⚽,
- 25', Caicedo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Hoyos M. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
- 54', Mendez J. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 61', Caicedo F. ↓, Rivero O. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Mercado P. ⚽,
- 65', Santamaria T. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 65', Cazares ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Ibarra R. ⚽, Alcivar J. (A),
- 75', Chala A. 🟨,
- 78', Oyola B. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
- 84', Cortez Casierra G. J. 🟨,
- 84', Castillo Segura B. D. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
- 84', Souza de Almeida L. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 87', Chala A. 🟥,
- 88', Spinelli C. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
59.9% | Draw
22.3% | Barcelona Guayaquil
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona Guayaquil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente del Valle that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.84) |
4.25 ↑
(3.75) |
5.24 ↑
(4.1) |
5.4%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2.
- Ind del Valle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Barcelona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Ind del Valle: Carabajal M.
(Red Card)
Paez K.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Barcelona: Rangel A.
(Knee Injury)
Rojas J.
(Broken Leg)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Independiente del Valle?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
01.04.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
08.03.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Independiente del Valle
0:4
10.08.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Independiente del Valle
3:2
09.03.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:1
18.08.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
