Grêmio Atlético Sampaio vs Independência: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência
Result
1:2
05/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 11
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
119
Corner Kicks
72
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
119
Shots off target
141
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
46.3%
Draw
27.1%
Independência
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 26.5% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 25.7% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Atlético Sampaio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.1)
    3.36
    (3.4)
    3.41
    (2.95)
    10%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. GAS (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • GAS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, GAS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Independência - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio 4:1
    Latest results of Independência
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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