Altos vs Independência: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Altos - Independência
Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Altos - Independência - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
117
Corner Kicks
34
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
117
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Macario ,
  • 12', 2 - 0, Macario ,
  • 14', 3 - 0, Macario ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 3 - 1, Felipinho ,

Chances of winning


Altos
70.4%
Draw
18.6%
Independência
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 25.9% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 24.7% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Altos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altos's performance.
  • Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altos than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Altos - Independência Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.55)
    4.86
    (3.5)
    8.22
    (5.75)
    10.6%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Altos is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Altos - Independência were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Independência - Altos 1:5
    Latest results of Altos
    03.08.2025 Independência - Altos 1:5
    26.07.2025 Altos - Maranhão 0:1
    19.07.2025 Tocantinópolis - Altos 1:0
    12.07.2025 Altos - Parnahyba 4:2
    06.07.2025 Maracanã - Altos 1:3
    Latest results of Independência
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1
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