Result
4:2
08/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 04:19, 0 - 1, Nilsson M. (G), Melotindos L. (A),
- 07:22, 1 - 1, Friederiksen S. (G), Metsa-Tokila E. (A),
- 14:34, 2 - 1, Ilvonen E. (G),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:20, 3 - 1, Kortelainen K. (G), Wessman J. (A),
- 16:33, 3 - 2, Nilsson M. (G), Juutilainen J. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 08:20, 4 - 2, Viitala S. (G), Kortelainen K. (A), Lassila M. (A2)
Chances of winning
TPS 23.7% | Draw 19.5% | Ilves 56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TPS that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
TPS - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.07 ↓ (4.6) |
4.97 ↓ (5.5) |
1.7 ↑ (1.4) |
3.4% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
- TPS is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ilves is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ilves is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 45:68. (average 2.3:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 2.4:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Ilves?
TPS has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against TPS?
Ilves has won 11 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Ilves were as follows:
07.09.2025
Ilves
-
TPS
4:5
20.12.2024
Ilves
-
TPS
2:1
01.12.2024
TPS
-
Ilves
1:3
26.10.2024
TPS
-
Ilves
1:6
28.09.2024
Ilves
-
TPS
4:0
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
1 | Kiekko-Espoo W | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50:14 | 26 |
2 | Hameenlinna W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 47:10 | 21 |
3 | Ilves W | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 61:28 | 18 |
4 | Kuortane W | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:12 | 18 |
5 | IFK Helsinki W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32:25 | 16 |
6 | TPS W | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 40:32 | 12 |
7 | Karpat W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26:35 | 10 |
8 | KalPa W | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11:39 | 2 |
9 | RoKi W | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6:97 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Auroraliiga Women (Relegation)
Which TV channels are streaming of TPS - Ilves?
It is being streamed on various channels, including: