SJK vs Ilves: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga SJK - Ilves
Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
SJK - Ilves - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.46
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
84% (312/372)84% (374/444)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.911.18
Total shots
714
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
734
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
84% (312/372)84% (374/444)
Long passes
46% (21/46)38% (12/32)
Passes in final third
73% (48/66)69% (113/163)
Crosses
17% (2/12)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.10
Throw-ins
1116
Fouls
1511
Tackles
55% (11/20)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4841
Clearances
2410
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.180.91
Goals prevented
0.04-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Chukwudi S. , Streng J. (A),
  • 29', Fati B. 🟨,
  • 31', Popovitch A. 🟨,
  • 40', Arsalo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Wallius K. , Ulundu V. ,
  • 46', Akinyemi A. , Hytonen T. ,
  • 60', Karjalainen R. , Vargas A. ,
  • 60', Ala-Myllymaki L. , Kanga J. ,
  • 62', Gasc V. R. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Kanga J. (Pen),
  • 65', Kanga J. 🟨,
  • 65', Paunio R. 🟨,
  • 69', Gasc V. R. , Wilson A. ,
  • 79', Soderback M. , Stjopin M. ,
  • 79', Hannola P. , Padera P. ,
  • 80', Streng J. , Tessilimi O. ,
  • 81', Obileye A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Yussif S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


SJK
32.1%
Draw
24.8%
Ilves
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 23.5% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 23.4% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • SJK - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (3.05)
    3.83
    (4)
    2.18
    (2.05)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for SJK - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. SJK will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • SJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ilves could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in SJK: Pires K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ilves: Tiitinen O. (Inactive) Vaisanen S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in SJK: Fati B. (Injury) Vargas A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ilves: Aspegren F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SJK won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SJK won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SJK - Ilves were as follows:
    18.06.2025 Ilves - SJK 2:3
    25.01.2025 Ilves - SJK 1:1
    19.10.2024 Ilves - SJK 4:0
    19.06.2024 Ilves - SJK 2:2
    15.06.2024 Ilves - SJK 2:4
    Latest results of SJK
    28.06.2025 SJK - IFK Mariehamn 4:1
    24.06.2025 Oulu - SJK 2:0
    18.06.2025 Ilves - SJK 2:3
    14.06.2025 SJK - FF Jaro 3:1
    11.06.2025 SJK - KPV Kokkola 7:0
    Latest results of Ilves
    02.07.2025 Ilves - KTP Kotka 2:1
    28.06.2025 Haka - Ilves 0:4
    18.06.2025 Ilves - SJK 2:3
    14.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Ilves 0:3
    01.06.2025 Gnistan - Ilves 0:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku1486027:91830
    2KuPS1693427:171030
    3Ilves1592433:171629
    4HJK1582532:171526
    5SJK1574428:22625
    6VPS1453621:21018
    7Gnistan1445518:24-617
    8Mariehamn1544715:30-1516
    9Jaro1443716:21-515
    10Haka1443716:24-815
    11KTP1424814:33-1910
    12AC Oulu1423918:30-129

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of SJK - Ilves?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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