Lukko vs Ilves: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Lukko - Ilves
Result
4:5 OT
25/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liiga - Play Offs - 3rd place
Lukko - Ilves - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.852.28
Shots on Goal
2927
Shots off target
139
Shooting PCT
13.79% (4/29)18.52% (5/27)
Blocked Shots
67
Goalkeeper Saves
2225
Saves PCT
81.48% (22/27)86.21% (25/29)
Penalties
45
PIM
810
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (5/5)
Faceoffs Won
3827
Faceoffs %
58.4641.54
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:59, 0 - 1, Klingberg C. (G), Friman N. (A), Mantykivi M. (A2)
  • 02:50, 1 - 1, Westerholm Po. (G), Nousiainen K. (A), Westerholm Pa. (A2)
  • 04:33, Ikonen H. (2 min),
  • 19:49, Klingberg C. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 04:09, Khodorenko P. (Penalty Shot),
  • 06:22, 1 - 2, Klingberg C. (G), Pelli A. (A), Nyberg J. (A2)
  • 06:29, Bau S. (2 min),
  • 07:08, 2 - 2, Stenqvist J. (G), Morand A. (A), Jandric S. (A2)
  • 08:25, 2 - 3, Nyberg J. (G), Klingberg C. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
  • 08:25, Hamalainen L. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 03:57, Krannila J. (2 min),
  • 04:57, Johansson S. (2 min),
  • 04:57, Johansson S. (2 min),
  • 05:18, 3 - 3, Kainulainen H. (G), Jandric S. (A), Morand A. (A2)
  • 08:05, 3 - 4, Meskanen V. (G), Suomi E. (A), Mantykivi M. (A2)
  • 11:39, 4 - 4, Westerholm Po. (G), Westerholm Pa. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
  • 13:53, Latvala O. (2 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 02:56, Khodorenko P. (2 min),
  • 03:16, 4 - 5, Meskanen V. (G), Looke J. (A), Pelli A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Lukko
39.7%
Draw
24.3%
Ilves
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 23% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 22.6% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Lukko - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.2)
    3.89
    (4.1)
    2.61
    (2.75)
    6%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for Lukko - Ilves?
    The most likely score is 3:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lukko won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lukko won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 64:57 (average 3.2:2.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lukko won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 40:29 (average 3.6:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Ilves were as follows:
    25.02.2025 Ilves - Lukko 5:1
    27.12.2024 Lukko - Ilves 5:3
    29.10.2024 Lukko - Ilves 2:3
    28.09.2024 Ilves - Lukko 3:2
    10.01.2024 Ilves - Lukko 2:3
    Latest results of Lukko
    21.04.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 2:1
    18.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 3:2
    16.04.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 5:2
    14.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 1:2
    12.04.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 3:5
    Latest results of Ilves
    21.04.2025 KalPa - Ilves 5:4
    18.04.2025 Ilves - KalPa 3:1
    16.04.2025 KalPa - Ilves 1:0
    14.04.2025 Ilves - KalPa 3:0
    12.04.2025 KalPa - Ilves 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Ilves (2)Bye
    2Kiekko-Espoo (8)Tappara (9)2 : 3
    3KalPa (3)Bye
    4Assat (7)Hameenlinna (10)3 : 0
    5Lukko (1)Bye
    6KooKoo (6)Vaasan Sport (11)1 : 3
    7IFK Helsinki (4)Bye
    8SaiPa (5)TPS Turku (12)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilves (2)Tappara (9)4 : 0
    2KalPa (3)Assat (7)4 : 3
    3Lukko (1)Vaasan Sport (11)4 : 0
    4IFK Helsinki (4)SaiPa (5)0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Ilves (2)KalPa (3)2 : 4
    2Lukko (1)SaiPa (5)2 : 4

    Final
    1KalPa (3)SaiPa (5)4 : 2

    3rd place
    2Lukko (1)Ilves (2)0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lukko - Ilves?
    It is being streamed on channel
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