Result
6:3
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Advertisement
Watch and bet Ilves - Lukko live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 3.16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 31.58% (6/19) | 10.71% (3/28) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.29% (25/28) | 72.22% (13/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 40.32 | 59.68 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 2)
- 02:32, 1 - 0, Torok M. (G), Johansson S. (A), Looke J. (A2)
- 08:36, Johansson S. (2 min),
- 10:50, Ikonen H. (2 min),
- 15:05, 2 - 0, Johansson S. (G), Soini S. (A), Svejkovsky L. (A2)
- 17:35, Jasek L. (2 min),
- 19:30, 2 - 1, Jandric S. (G), Tuuva L. (A), Valila A. (A2)
- 19:48, 2 - 2, Joki A. (G), Peters A. (A), Ikonen H. (A2)
- 2nd Period (3 - 1)
- 00:43, 3 - 2, Pelli A. (G), Torok M. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
- 04:37, 4 - 2, Kucerik R. (G), Jasek L. (A), Torok M. (A2)
- 08:41, Peters A. (2 min),
- 08:52, 5 - 2, Looke J. (G), Johansson S. (A), Torok M. (A2)
- 08:52, Salonen D. ↓, Sammalniemi J. ↑,
- 11:25, 5 - 3, Ruohomaa M. (G), Hamalainen L. (A), Peters A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:41, Nyberg J. (2 min),
- 03:41, Ikonen H. (2 min),
- 05:38, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 11:38, Jasek L. (2 min),
- 16:28, Krannila J. (2 min),
- 19:35, 6 - 3, Jasek L. (G), Torok M. (A),
Chances of winning
Ilves
48.9% | Draw
22.6% | Lukko
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves's performance.Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ilves - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.22) |
4.22 ↓
(4.5) |
3.4 ↑
(2.64) |
6.5%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Ilves - Lukko?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lukko will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ilves has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:64. (average 3:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 3.1:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Lukko?
Ilves has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Ilves?
Lukko has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Lukko were as follows:
25.04.2025
Lukko
-
Ilves
4:5
25.02.2025
Ilves
-
Lukko
5:1
27.12.2024
Lukko
-
Ilves
5:3
29.10.2024
Lukko
-
Ilves
2:3
28.09.2024
Ilves
-
Lukko
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31:15 | 18 |
| 2 | JYP | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32:23 | 18 |
| 3 | Kiekko-Espoo | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 27:21 | 18 |
| 4 | Assat | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:15 | 15 |
| 5 | TPS Turku | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Lukko | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30:30 | 14 |
| 7 | Hameenlinna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20:22 | 13 |
| 8 | KooKoo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 31:36 | 13 |
| 9 | Jukurit | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 10 | SaiPa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 28:26 | 12 |
| 11 | KalPa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24:29 | 10 |
| 12 | Vaasan Sport | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:18 | 9 |
| 13 | Ilves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 25:31 | 9 |
| 14 | IFK Helsinki | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19:28 | 9 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19:28 | 9 |
| 16 | Karpat | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22:30 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Ilves - Lukko?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
