Ilves vs Haka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Ilves - Haka
Result
3:2
09/05/2025 at 12:31 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
Ilves - Haka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.361.20
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
85% (383/450)77% (206/268)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.361.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.842.08
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
109
Passes
85% (383/450)77% (206/268)
Long passes
49% (21/43)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
75% (112/150)57% (39/69)
Crosses
36% (8/22)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.57
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
910
Tackles
42% (5/12)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4148
Clearances
2928
Interceptions
520
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.081.84
Goals prevented
0.07-1.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Soderback M. , Veteli J. (A),
  • 35', Hughes L. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Riski Ro. (Pen),
  • 41', 2 - 1, Lucas Cini , Houston J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Jukkola O. 🟨,
  • 52', Lindholm S. 🟨,
  • 58', Lucas Cini , Sejdiu A. ,
  • 70', Mommo E. 🟨,
  • 74', Riski Ro. , Akinyemi A. ,
  • 74', Ala-Myllymaki L. , Aspegren F. ,
  • 80', Lindholm S. , Multanen K. ,
  • 80', Houston J. , Purosalo V. ,
  • 85', Stjopin M. , Miettunen T. ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Akintunde J. ,
  • 88', Da Sylva J. , Selander R. ,
  • 88', Okyere A. , Parfitt-Williams D. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Maenpaa A. ,

Chances of winning


Ilves
60.1%
Draw
21.6%
Haka
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 19% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1% 18.3% 14.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.
  • Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Ilves - Haka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.44)
    4.41
    (4.95)
    5.24
    (6.17)
    5.4%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Ilves - Haka?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Haka has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ilves is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Haka were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Ilves - Haka 3:2
    15.07.2024 Haka - Ilves 4:3
    17.05.2024 Ilves - Haka 5:0
    16.02.2024 Ilves - Haka 2:2
    15.09.2023 Haka - Ilves 2:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    02.05.2025 VPS Vaasa - Ilves 1:0
    27.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Ilves 3:2
    19.04.2025 KTP Kotka - Ilves 0:5
    12.04.2025 Ilves - FF Jaro 2:1
    05.04.2025 Ilves - HJK 3:2
    Latest results of Haka
    02.05.2025 Haka - FF Jaro 0:1
    28.04.2025 SJK - Haka 2:2
    19.04.2025 Haka - Oulu 2:1
    12.04.2025 Haka - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    05.04.2025 Haka - Gnistan 3:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS651010:3716
    2SJK64119:5413
    3Ilves640215:9612
    4Inter Turku532011:3811
    5Haka62139:10-17
    6VPS52128:10-27
    7Jaro52036:606
    8Gnistan52036:8-26
    9Mariehamn62046:12-66
    10HJK51136:7-14
    11KTP51136:13-74
    12AC Oulu61059:15-63

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

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