Result
2:2
04/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Advertisement
Watch and bet Ilves - Gnistan live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/398) | 73% (161/222) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/398) | 73% (161/222) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (78/105) | 61% (69/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 15% (5/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.16 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Heiskanen S. ⚽, Arko-Mensah E. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Hytonen T. ⚽, Jukkola O. (A),
- 27', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wallius K. ↓, Raymond A. ↑,
- 46', Tiitinen O. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
- 52', Pettersson O. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Soderback M. ⚽, Kanga J. (A),
- 65', Jukkola O. ↓, Maenpaa A. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Gnanou R. ⚽, Heiskanen S. (A),
- 81', Hytonen T. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 81', Soderback M. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
- 82', Arko-Mensah E. ↓, von Hellens L. ↑,
- 85', von Hellens L. 🟨,
- 87', Akinyemi A. 🟨,
- 87', Kanga J. 🟨,
- 88', Gnanou R. 🟨,
- 89', Europaeus G. 🟨,
- 89', Vayrynen T. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 90+1', Ojala J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Gnanou R. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ilves
66.7% | Draw
19% | Gnistan
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Ilves - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.38) |
4.96 ↓
(5.23) |
6.71 ↓
(6.88) |
4.1%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ilves - Gnistan?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 25 - 92.6%). Gnistan will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 82.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Gnistan (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
- Ilves is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gnistan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ilves is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E.
(Red Card)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Raitala J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Gnistan: Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 4:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Gnistan?
Ilves has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against Ilves?
Gnistan has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Gnistan were as follows:
01.06.2025
Gnistan
-
Ilves
0:2
28.05.2025
Gnistan
-
Ilves
3:0
28.03.2025
Ilves
-
Gnistan
4:0
01.09.2024
Gnistan
-
Ilves
1:1
13.04.2024
Ilves
-
Gnistan
4:6
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 43:16 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | KuPS ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Ilves ✔ | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 39:21 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | SJK | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 37:28 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | HJK ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 32 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Jaro | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | VPS | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
Which TV channels are streaming of Ilves - Gnistan?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
