AZ Alkmaar vs Ilves: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League AZ Alkmaar - Ilves
Result
5:0
31/07/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
AZ Alkmaar - Ilves - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
6.480.40
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
287
Shots on target
162
Big Chances
122
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
86% (490/569)83% (367/442)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
6.480.40
xG on target (xGOT)
5.260.49
Total shots
287
Shots on target
162
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
235
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
122
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
6220
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
915
Passes
86% (490/569)83% (367/442)
Long passes
47% (23/49)34% (16/47)
Passes in final third
78% (169/216)75% (80/106)
Crosses
20% (3/15)0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
3.800.52
Throw-ins
1513
Fouls
159
Tackles
63% (15/24)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5437
Clearances
1428
Interceptions
517
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
211
xGOT faced
0.495.26
Goals prevented
0.490.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 11', Parrott T. 🟨,
  • 17', Mijnans S. 🟨,
  • 17', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Parrott T. , Poku E. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 0, Parrott T. , de Wit M. (A),
  • 36', 3 - 0, Poku E. , de Wit M. (A),
  • 42', 4 - 0, Kasius D. , Mijnans S. (A),
  • 45', Daal R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Raymond A. , Ulundu V. ,
  • 58', Clasie J. , Koopmeiners P. ,
  • 58', Daal R. , Jensen I. ,
  • 58', Parrott T. , Meerdink M. ,
  • 61', Rale M. 🟨,
  • 67', Kasius D. , Dijkstra E. ,
  • 69', Veteli J. , Tiitinen O. ,
  • 69', Kanga J. , Stjopin M. ,
  • 74', 5 - 0, de Wit M. , Meerdink M. (A),
  • 75', Smit K. , Buurmeester Z. ,
  • 79', Maenpaa A. , Kumpu V. ,
  • 80', Vaisanen S. , Miettunen T. ,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
84.9%
Draw
9.6%
Ilves
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.4% 14.5% 8.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.
  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (1.16)
    9.64
    (6.2)
    17.09
    (11)
    6.6%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
  • What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 51.5%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-4. 2nd leg.
    • AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ilves is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, AZ is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Ilves were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    12.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:2
    09.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Aris 3:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    20.07.2025 FF Jaro - Ilves 0:1
    17.07.2025 Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0
    14.07.2025 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves 6:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of AZ Alkmaar - Ilves?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
    finlandFinlandIlves TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV
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