Austria Wien vs Ilves, UEFA Europa Conference League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Austria Wien - Ilves
Result
4:4 penalties
31/07/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: McNabb I. (Nir)
Austria Wien - Ilves - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
86
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
46
Offsides
15
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Fouls
179
Yellow Cards
34
Attacks
146158
Dangerous Attacks
10994

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', Guenouche H. , Perez Vinlof M. ,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Malone M. , Perez Vinlof M. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Gruber A. , Malone M. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Ala-Myllymaki L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Ala-Myllymaki L. , Riski Ro. ,
  • 58', Ranftl R. 🟨,
  • 61', Potzmann M. , Pazourek L. ,
  • 61', Malone M. , Prelec N. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Barry A. , Gruber A. (A),
  • 78', Jorginho , Ulundu V. ,
  • 78', Jukkola O. , Soderback M. ,
  • 80', Martins M. , Meisl M. ,
  • 80', Gruber A. , Huskovic M. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Maenpaa A. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 93', Huskovic M. 🟨,
  • 95', Pikkarainen J. 🟨,
  • 97', 4 - 2, Prelec N. ,
  • 100', Arifi D. 🟨,
  • 100', Fitz D. 🟨,
  • 102', Popovitch A. 🟨,
  • 106', Maenpaa A. , Akpudje J. ,
  • 107', Ulundu V. 🟨,
  • 112', 4 - 3, Soderback M. , Haarala S. (A),
  • 116', Ranftl R. , Plavotic T. ,
  • 120+1', Seppa V. , Virtanen O. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Arifi D. (Pen),
  • 1, Fischer M. (Pen),
  • 2, Popovitch A. (Pen),
  • 2, Lucas Galvao (Pen),
  • 3, Haarala S. (Pen),
  • 3, Perez Vinlof M. (Pen),
  • 4, Pikkarainen J. (Pen),
  • 4, Meisl M. (Pen),
  • 5, Riski Ro. (Pen),
  • 5, Fitz D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Austria Wien
69.1%
Draw
17.7%
Ilves
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 19.1% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 17.8% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Wien that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Austria Wien - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.41)
    5.23
    (4.83)
    7.13
    (6.03)
    7.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Austria Wien - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 58%94.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Austria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ilves is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ilves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Austria is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Austria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austria Wien - Ilves were as follows:
    25.07.2024 Ilves - Austria Wien 2:1
    Latest results of Austria Wien
    Latest results of Ilves
    25.07.2024 Ilves - Austria Wien 2:1
    21.07.2024 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    15.07.2024 Haka - Ilves 4:3
    06.07.2024 Ilves - HJK 3:0
    29.06.2024 Lahti - Ilves 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1BuducnostBye
    2ByeMilsami
    4ByeVirtus
    5VikingurBye
    7ZalgirisBye
    8ByeLinfield
    9TNSBye
    10ByeDifferdange
    11LevadiaBye
    12ByeIberia 1999
    13O. LjubljanaBye
    14ByeInter Escaldes
    15Din. MinskBye
    16ByeEgnatia
    17DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    18ByeSK Rapid
    19Dundee UtdBye
    20ByeUNA Strassen
    21AktobeBye
    22ByeSparta Prague
    23Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    24ByeU. Cluj
    25IlvesBye
    26ByeAZ Alkmaar
    27VaduzBye
    28ByeDungannon
    33Radnicki 1923Bye
    34SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    35KosiceBye
    36UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    37Riga FCBye
    38Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    39SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    40ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    41VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    42MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    43HB TorshavnBye
    44ByeBrondby
    45ZiraBye
    46ByeHajduk Split
    47Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    48ByeDinamo Tirana
    53La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    54ByeLausanne
    55Zimbru ChisinauBye
    56ByeFC Astana
    57LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    58ByePrishtina
    59VarazdinBye
    60ByeSanta Clara
    61ArisBye
    62ByePuskas Academy
    63AEK Athens FCBye
    64ByeH. Beer Sheva
    65VikingBye
    66ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    67Cherno MoreBye
    68ByeBasaksehir
    69ArazBye
    70ByeAris
    71OmoniaBye
    72Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3
    73FC BallkaniBye
    74FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    75St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    76ByeShamrock Rovers
    77RakowBye
    78ByeZilina
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81AIKBye
    82MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    83Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    84ByeGyor
    85FK SarajevoBye
    86ByeUniv. Craiova
    87HiberniansBye
    88ByeTrnava
    89Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    90Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    91PaksBye
    92ByeMaribor
    95BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    96ByeSabah Baku
    97SilkeborgBye
    98ByeKA Akureyri
    99Novi PazarBye
    100ByeJagiellonia
    101OleksandriyaBye
    102ByePartizan
    107Austria ViennaBye
    108ByeSpaeri
    109RosenborgBye
    110ByeBanga
    111HammarbyBye
    112ByeCharleroi
    113St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    114KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    117Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    118ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    119ArdaBye
    120NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1BuducnostMilsami0 : 0
    2ByeVirtus
    3VikingurBye
    4ZalgirisLinfield0 : 0
    5TNSDifferdange0 : 1
    6LevadiaIberia 19991 : 0
    7O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes4 : 2
    8Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 2
    9DecicSK Rapid0 : 2
    10Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0
    11AktobeSparta Prague2 : 1
    12Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj0 : 0
    13IlvesAZ Alkmaar4 : 3
    14VaduzDungannon0 : 1
    17Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 0
    18KosiceNeman2 : 3
    19Riga FCDila Gori2 : 1
    20SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem1 : 2
    21VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 1
    22HB TorshavnBrondby1 : 1
    23ZiraHajduk Split1 : 1
    24Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 2
    27VardarLausanne2 : 1
    28Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana1 : 1
    29LarnePrishtina0 : 0
    30VarazdinSanta Clara2 : 1
    31ArisPuskas Academy3 : 2
    32AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva1 : 0
    33VikingKoper7 : 0
    34Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 1
    35ArazAris2 : 1
    36OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi1 : 0
    37FC BallkaniFloriana4 : 2
    38St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 4
    39RakowZilina3 : 0
    40ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa1 : 1
    41AIKPaide2 : 0
    42Pyunik YerevanGyor2 : 1
    43FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova2 : 1
    44HiberniansTrnava1 : 2
    45Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma1 : 2
    46PaksMaribor1 : 0
    48PetrocubSabah Baku0 : 2
    49SilkeborgKA Akureyri1 : 1
    50Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 2
    51OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 2
    54Austria ViennaSpaeri2 : 0
    55RosenborgBanga5 : 0
    56HammarbyCharleroi0 : 0
    57St. PatricksKalju1 : 0
    59Kauno ZalgirisValur1 : 1
    60ArdaHJK0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Virtus
    2VikingurTBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24ByeTBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51Bye
    27ByeTBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57Bye
    30TBD #59TBD #60
    Which TV channels are streaming of Austria Wien - Ilves?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaORF 1, ORF TVthek
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