Austria Wien vs Ilves, UEFA Europa Conference League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Austria Wien - Ilves
Result
4:4 penalties
31/07/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: McNabb I. (Nir)
Austria Wien - Ilves - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
86
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
46
Offsides
15
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Fouls
179
Yellow Cards
34
Attacks
146158
Dangerous Attacks
10994

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', Guenouche H. , Perez Vinlof M. ,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Malone M. , Perez Vinlof M. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Gruber A. , Malone M. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Ala-Myllymaki L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Ala-Myllymaki L. , Riski Ro. ,
  • 58', Ranftl R. 🟨,
  • 61', Potzmann M. , Pazourek L. ,
  • 61', Malone M. , Prelec N. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Barry A. , Gruber A. (A),
  • 78', Jorginho , Ulundu V. ,
  • 78', Jukkola O. , Soderback M. ,
  • 80', Martins M. , Meisl M. ,
  • 80', Gruber A. , Huskovic M. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Maenpaa A. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 93', Huskovic M. 🟨,
  • 95', Pikkarainen J. 🟨,
  • 97', 4 - 2, Prelec N. ,
  • 100', Arifi D. 🟨,
  • 100', Fitz D. 🟨,
  • 102', Popovitch A. 🟨,
  • 106', Maenpaa A. , Akpudje J. ,
  • 107', Ulundu V. 🟨,
  • 112', 4 - 3, Soderback M. , Haarala S. (A),
  • 116', Ranftl R. , Plavotic T. ,
  • 120+1', Seppa V. , Virtanen O. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Arifi D. (Pen),
  • 1, Fischer M. (Pen),
  • 2, Popovitch A. (Pen),
  • 2, Lucas Galvao (Pen),
  • 3, Haarala S. (Pen),
  • 3, Perez Vinlof M. (Pen),
  • 4, Pikkarainen J. (Pen),
  • 4, Meisl M. (Pen),
  • 5, Riski Ro. (Pen),
  • 5, Fitz D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Austria Wien
69.1%
Draw
17.7%
Ilves
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 19.1% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 17.8% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Wien that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Austria Wien - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.41)
    5.23
    (4.83)
    7.2
    (6.03)
    7%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Austria Wien - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 58%94.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Austria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ilves is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ilves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Austria is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Austria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austria Wien - Ilves were as follows:
    25.07.2024 Ilves - Austria Wien 2:1
    Latest results of Austria Wien
    Latest results of Ilves
    25.07.2024 Ilves - Austria Wien 2:1
    21.07.2024 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    15.07.2024 Haka - Ilves 4:3
    06.07.2024 Ilves - HJK 3:0
    29.06.2024 Lahti - Ilves 2:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Austria Wien - Ilves?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaORF 1, ORF TVthek
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