Ässät vs Ilves: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Ässät - Ilves
Result
2:1
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
  • Referee: Brannare A. (Fin)
Ässät - Ilves - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.492.75
Shots on Goal
2523
Shots off Goal
1811
Shooting PCT
8% (2/25)4.35% (1/23)
Blocked Shots
812
Goalkeeper Saves
2223
Saves PCT
95.65% (22/23)92% (23/25)
Penalties
44
PIM
88
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (4/4)
Faceoffs Won
3523
Faceoffs %
60.3439.66
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 02:04, Nyberg J. (2 min),
  • 05:55, Jarvinen J. (2 min),
  • 05:55, Borg E. (2 min),
  • 19:23, 1 - 0, Vanhatalo L. (G), Maatta R. (A), Kucerik R. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 04:29, Tiivola P. (2 min),
  • 08:40, Lipiainen V. (2 min),
  • 12:31, Ratinen S. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:28, 2 - 0, Vanhatalo L. (G),
  • 05:13, 2 - 1, Vaisanen K. (G),
  • 06:51, Friman N. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Ässät
40.3%
Draw
24%
Ilves
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 24.7% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 24% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Ässät - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.32)
    3.9
    (3.77)
    2.64
    (2.65)
    6.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
  • What is the prediction for Ässät - Ilves?
    The most likely score is 3:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ässät won 3.
    • Ässät is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Ilves is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ilves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Ässät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 41:55 (average 2.1:2.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ässät won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:22 (average 2.7:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Ilves were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Ilves - Ässät 3:1
    06.10.2024 Ilves - Ässät 1:2
    02.10.2024 Ässät - Ilves 3:0
    27.02.2024 Ilves - Ässät 4:3
    21.12.2023 Ilves - Ässät 1:2
    Latest results of Ässät
    03.01.2025 Ilves - Ässät 3:1
    28.12.2024 Ässät - Tappara 5:0
    26.12.2024 Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät 1:3
    21.12.2024 Ässät - HIFK 4:2
    20.12.2024 Vaasan Sport - Ässät 1:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    03.01.2025 Ilves - Ässät 3:1
    30.12.2024 Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit 5:0
    28.12.2024 Ilves - KalPa 4:1
    27.12.2024 Lukko - Ilves 5:3
    21.12.2024 KooKoo - Ilves 5:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Ilves (2)Bye
    2Kiekko-Espoo (8)Tappara (9)2 : 3
    3KalPa (3)Bye
    4Assat (7)Hameenlinna (10)3 : 0
    5Lukko (1)Bye
    6KooKoo (6)Vaasan Sport (11)1 : 3
    7IFK Helsinki (4)Bye
    8SaiPa (5)TPS Turku (12)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilves (2)Tappara (9)4 : 0
    2KalPa (3)Assat (7)4 : 3
    3Lukko (1)Vaasan Sport (11)4 : 0
    4IFK Helsinki (4)SaiPa (5)0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Ilves (2)KalPa (3)2 : 4
    2Lukko (1)SaiPa (5)2 : 4

    Final
    1KalPa (3)SaiPa (5)4 : 2

    3rd place
    2Lukko (1)Ilves (2)0 : 1
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