Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Igdirspor: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Turkish First League Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 1. Lig - Round 38
  • Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.73
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
61% (117/193)81% (435/539)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.611.02
Total shots
910
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1713
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1823
Passes
61% (117/193)81% (435/539)
Long passes
47% (28/60)41% (27/66)
Passes in final third
46% (35/76)55% (68/123)
Crosses
36% (4/11)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.34
Throw-ins
1421
Fouls
2318
Tackles
80% (12/15)87% (13/15)
Duels won
6143
Clearances
3814
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.021.61
Goals prevented
0.02-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes (Pen),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Bruno G. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Avramovski D. , Ethemi V. ,
  • 59', Johnson D. , Dovedan N. ,
  • 65', Gurpuz G. 🟨,
  • 68', Conte A. 🟨,
  • 73', Camacho J. , Sivri A. ,
  • 85', Engin A. , Bekaroglu B. ,
  • 85', Sarikaya M. , Kaya G. ,
  • 86', Ulvan T. , Gray A. ,
  • 86', Gurpuz G. , Kalayci B. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Gray A. , Sivri A. (A),
  • 90+1', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Eysseric V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
30.1%
Draw
26.6%
Igdirspor
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 29.2% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 28.5% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igdirspor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.8)
    3.46
    (3.2)
    2.12
    (2.5)
    8.7%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Fatih Karagümrükspor will win! (4 of 5 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Karagümrük has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Igdirspor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Igdirspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Igdirspor: Asan S. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Igdirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:1
    18.07.2024 Igdirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of Igdirspor
    04.05.2025 Igdirspor - Kocaelispor 4:0
    21.04.2025 Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor 4:0
    14.04.2025 Bandırmaspor - Igdirspor 1:1
    08.04.2025 Igdirspor - İstanbulspor 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Karagumruk (3)Bye
    3Bandirmaspor (5)Erzurumspor (6)2 : 0
    4Istanbulspor AS (4)Boluspor (7)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Karagumruk (3)Bye
    2Bandirmaspor (5)Boluspor (7)

    Final
    1Karagumruk (3)TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaTOD
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor
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