Iga Swiatek vs Darya Kasatkina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
7	1
Double Faults
4	4
1st serve percentage
64%	68%
1st serve points won
64% (38/59)	56% (34/61)
2nd serve points won
45% (15/33)	24% (7/29)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)	56% (10/18)
1st return points won
44% (27/61)	36% (21/59)
2nd return points won
76% (22/29)	55% (18/33)
Break Points Converted
44% (8/18)	33% (4/12)
Service Points Won
57% (54/94)	46% (41/90)
Return Points Won
54% (49/90)	43% (40/94)
Total Points Won
56% (103/184)	44% (81/184)
Last 10 balls
6	4
Match points saved
0	2
Service games won
69% (9/13)	38% (5/13)
Return games won
62% (8/13)	31% (4/13)
Total games won
65% (17/26)	35% (9/26)

Chances of winning

Iga Swiatek
92.5%

Darya Kasatkina
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.4%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Iga Swiatek - Darya Kasatkina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.04)		12.13 ↑ (8.82)	4.2% (7.2%)

What is the prediction for Iga Swiatek - Darya Kasatkina?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 16 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -9 Games - Swiatek (4.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Swiatek is ranked WTA: 2. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 61.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 5.
Swiatek is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Kasatkina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kasatkina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Swiatek is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:2. (average 1.9:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Iga Swiatek won against Darya Kasatkina?

Iga Swiatek has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Iga Swiatek?

Darya Kasatkina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Iga Swiatek - Darya Kasatkina were as follows:

07.11.2024 Iga Swiatek - Darya Kasatkina 2:0

01.11.2022 Iga Swiatek - Darya Kasatkina 2:0

Latest results of Iga Swiatek

10.02.2026 Iga Swiatek - Janice Tjen 2:0 ✺

27.01.2026 Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek 2:0 ✺

26.01.2026 Maddison Inglis - Iga Swiatek 0:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Anna Kalinskaya - Iga Swiatek 1:2 ✺

22.01.2026 Marie Bouzkova - Iga Swiatek 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Darya Kasatkina

10.02.2026 Darya Kasatkina - Elise Mertens 2:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Darya Kasatkina - Moyuka Uchijima 2:1 ✺

02.02.2026 Darya Kasatkina - Simona Waltert 1:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Darya Kasatkina - Nikola Bartunkova 1:2 ✺

13.01.2026 Darya Kasatkina - Jaqueline Adina Cristian 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Bye
2	Tjen J. (WC)	Haddad Maia B. (LL)	2 : 0
3	Kasatkina D.	Uchijima M. (Q)	2 : 1
4	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Mertens E. (16)	0 : 2
5	Noskova L. (9)	Joint M.	2 : 0
6	Siegemund L.	Gracheva V. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Sakkari M.	Sonmez Z. (WC)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
9	Anisimova A. (3)	Bye
10	Sierra S. (LL)	Pliskova Ka.	0 : 2
11	Eala A.	Valentova T. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Cristian J.	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 2
13	Navarro E. (12)	Maria T.	2 : 0
14	Kalinskaya A.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
15	Yastremska D.	Bucsa C.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Svitolina E. (7)
17	Alexandrova E. (8)	Bye
18	Zakharova A. (Q)	Ostapenko J.	1 : 2
19	Raducanu E. (RET.)	Osorio C. (Q)	1 : 1
20	Siniakova K.	Tauson C. (11)	2 : 0
21	Samsonova L. (13)	Frech M. (LL)	1 : 2
22	Li A.	Fernandez L.	2 : 0
23	Cocciaretto E. (LL)	Jacquemot E. (WC)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Gauff C. (4)
25	Andreeva M. (5)	Bye
26	Kartal S. (Q)	Linette M.	1 : 2
27	Stearns P. (WC)	Zvonareva V. (Q)	1 : 2
28	Bouzkova M.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
29	Shnaider D. (15)	Parks A. (Q)	1 : 2
30	Zheng Q.	Kenin S.	2 : 1
31	Wang Xin.	Arango E.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rybakina E. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Tjen J.	2 : 0
2	Kasatkina D.	Mertens E. (16)	2 : 0
3	Noskova L. (9)	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
4	Sakkari M.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
5	Anisimova A. (RET.) (3)	Pliskova Ka.	1 : 1
6	Valentova T.	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 2
7	Navarro E. (12)	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
8	Yastremska D.	Svitolina E. (7)	0 : 2
9	Alexandrova E. (8)	Ostapenko J.	0 : 2
10	Osorio C.	Siniakova K.	2 : 1
11	Frech M.	Li A.	0 : 2
12	Cocciaretto E.	Gauff C. (4)	2 : 0
13	Andreeva M. (5)	Linette M.	2 : 0
14	Zvonareva V.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
15	Parks A.	Zheng Q.	1 : 2
16	Wang Xin.	Rybakina E. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Kasatkina D.	2 : 1
2	Gracheva V.	Sakkari M.	0 : 2
3	Pliskova Ka. (RET.)	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 0
4	Kalinskaya A.	Svitolina E. (7)	2 : 0
5	Ostapenko J.	Osorio C.	2 : 0
6	Li A.	Cocciaretto E.	1 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (5)	Mboko V. (10)	1 : 2
8	Zheng Q.	Rybakina E. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Sakkari M.	1 : 2
2	Muchova K. (14)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
3	Ostapenko J.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
4	Mboko V. (10)	Rybakina E. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Sakkari M.	Muchova K. (14)	1 : 2
2	Ostapenko J.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2

Final

1

Muchova K. (14)

Mboko V. (10)

2 : 0

Which TV channels are streaming of Iga Swiatek - Darya Kasatkina?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: