Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis WTA Madrid Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka
Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Result
2:1

Which TV channels are streaming this event?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
brazilBrazilESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport
franceFrancebeIN Sports
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceNova Sports
montenegroMontenegroSportKlub
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaSportKlub
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub
spainSpainMovistar Deportes
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis
worldWorldbeIN Sports Connect

When is the event taking place?

It is scheduled for 04/05/2024 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Do you have any additional information?

  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - Final

What is the Match Stats?

Aces
24
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
66%58%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (52/78)68% (46/68)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (21/41)48% (24/50)
Break Points Saved
62% (8/13)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
32% (22/68)33% (26/78)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (26/50)49% (20/41)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)38% (5/13)
Max Points In Row
67
Service Points Won
61% (73/119)59% (70/118)
Return Points Won
41% (48/118)39% (46/119)
Total Points Won
51% (121/237)49% (116/237)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
71% (12/17)71% (12/17)
Return Games Won
29% (5/17)29% (5/17)
Total Games Won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

What is the Probability of Winning?

Iga Swiatek 73.6%Aryna Sabalenka 26.4%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Iga Swiatek 73%Aryna Sabalenka 27%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Iga Swiatek 73.5%Aryna Sabalenka 26.5%

What is the Odds of Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka?

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.31
(1.31)

3.65
(3.53)
4.8%
(4%)
What is the prediction for the Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka?
The most likely score prediction is 2:0.
Do you have any preview information?
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swiatek won 3.
  • Both players in the last matches got series of victories.
  • Sabalenka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • In this match Swiatek is a favorite.
  • Our prediction for today's Swiatek to win the game is with odds 1.32.
  • Last 12 head-to-head matches Swiatek won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Iga Swiatek won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Iga Swiatek has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Iga Swiatek?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
Who is the favorite in this match?
Iga Swiatek is the certain favorite in this match.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka were as follows:
23.12.2023 Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka 0:1
05.11.2023 Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek 0:2
06.05.2023 Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka 1:2
23.04.2023 Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka 2:0
23.12.2022 Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek 0:2
What were the latest results of Iga Swiatek in their previous matches?
The latest results are as follows:
02.05.2024 Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys 2:0
25.04.2024 Iga Swiatek - Xiyu Wang 2:0
What were the latest results of Aryna Sabalenka in their previous matches?
The latest results are as follows:
Draw
Singles - Main

1/64-finals
1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
2Wang Xiy.Bogdan A.2 : 1
3Eala A. (WC)Tsurenko L.2 : 1
4ByeCirstea S. (27)
5Azarenka V. (23)Bye
6Maria T.Stearns P.2 : 1
7Sorribes Tormo S.Pera B. (Q)2 : 0
8ByeSvitolina E. (16)
9Haddad Maia B. (11)Bye
10Errani S. (Q)Wozniacki C. (WC)2 : 1
11Podoroska N. (Alt)Siniakova K.2 : 0
12ByeNavarro E. (19)
13Mertens E. (28)Bye
14Stephens S.Trevisan M.2 : 1
15Vekic D.Siegemund L. (Q)2 : 0
16ByeSakkari M. (5)
17Gauff C. (3)Bye
18Fruhvirtova B. (WC)Rus A.0 : 2
19Arango E. (Q)Anisimova A. (WC)2 : 1
20ByeYastremska D. (31)
21Keys M. (18)Bye
22Begu I.Fruhvirtova L. (WC)2 : 0
23Osaka N.Minnen G. (LL)2 : 0
24ByeSamsonova L. (15)
25Ostapenko J. (9)Bye
26Bouzas Maneiro J. (Q)Badosa P.2 : 1
27Raducanu E. (WC)Carle M. L. (Q)0 : 2
28ByeKudermetova V. (17)
29Fernandez L. (32)Bye
30Shnaider D.Potapova A.0 : 2
31Kenin S.Schmiedlova A. K.0 : 2
32ByeJabeur O. (8)
33Zheng Q. (6)Bye
34Putintseva Y.Yuan Y.2 : 0
35Bai Z.Dolehide C.0 : 2
36ByeKalinina A. (30)
37Pavlyuchenkova A. (20)Bye
38Baptiste H. (Q)Saville D. (LL)0 : 2
39Dart H. (Q)Bucsa C.0 : 2
40ByeKasatkina D. (10)
41Alexandrova E. (14)Bye
42Hibino N.Krueger A.0 : 2
43Bejlek S. (Q)Blinkova A.2 : 1
44ByeKalinskaya A. (24)
45Kostyuk M. (25)Bye
46Davis L.Sherif M.1 : 2
47Bronzetti L.Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
48ByeRybakina E. (4)
49Vondrousova M. (7)Bye
50Zhang S.Rogers S.0 : 2
51Andreeva M.Townsend T.2 : 1
52ByeNoskova L. (29)
53Garcia C. (21)Bye
54Wang Xin.Tomova V.2 : 1
55Zhu L.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)0 : 2
56ByePaolini J. (12)
57Collins D. (13)Bye
58Burel C.Danilovic O. (Q)1 : 2
59Frech M.Cristian J. (Q)0 : 2
60ByeKrejcikova B. (22)
61Boulter K. (26)Bye
62Montgomery R. (WC)Avanesyan E.2 : 0
63Linette M.Cocciaretto E.2 : 1
64ByeSabalenka A. (2)

1/32-finals
1Swiatek I. (1)Wang Xiy.2 : 0
2Eala A.Cirstea S. (27)1 : 2
3Azarenka V. (23)Maria T.2 : 0
4Sorribes Tormo S.Svitolina E. (16)2 : 0
5Haddad Maia B. (11)Errani S.2 : 0
6Podoroska N.Navarro E. (19)0 : 2
7Mertens E. (28)Stephens S.1 : 2
8Vekic D.Sakkari M. (5)0 : 2
9Gauff C. (3)Rus A.2 : 0
10Arango E.Yastremska D. (31)1 : 2
11Keys M. (18)Begu I.2 : 0
12Osaka N.Samsonova L. (15)1 : 2
13Ostapenko J. (9)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
14Carle M. L.Kudermetova V. (17)2 : 0
15Fernandez L. (32)Potapova A.2 : 0
16Schmiedlova A. K.Jabeur O. (8)1 : 2
17Zheng Q. (RET.) (6)Putintseva Y.0 : 1
18Dolehide C.Kalinina A. (30)2 : 1
19Pavlyuchenkova A. (20)Saville D.2 : 0
20Bucsa C.Kasatkina D. (10)1 : 2
21Alexandrova E. (14)Krueger A.0 : 2
22Bejlek S.Kalinskaya A. (24)2 : 0
23Kostyuk M. (25)Sherif M.0 : 2
24Bronzetti L.Rybakina E. (4)0 : 2
25Vondrousova M. (7)Rogers S.2 : 0
26Andreeva M.Noskova L. (29)2 : 1
27Garcia C. (21)Wang Xin.2 : 0
28Jimenez Kasintseva V.Paolini J. (12)0 : 2
29Collins D. (13)Danilovic O.2 : 1
30Cristian J.Krejcikova B. (22)2 : 1
31Boulter K. (26)Montgomery R.1 : 2
32Linette M.Sabalenka A. (2)1 : 2

1/16-finals
1Swiatek I. (1)Cirstea S. (27)2 : 0
2Azarenka V. (23)Sorribes Tormo S.0 : 2
3Haddad Maia B. (11)Navarro E. (19)2 : 0
4Stephens S.Sakkari M. (5)0 : 2
5Gauff C. (3)Yastremska D. (31)2 : 0
6Keys M. (18)Samsonova L. (15)2 : 0
7Ostapenko J. (9)Carle M. L.2 : 0
8Fernandez L. (32)Jabeur O. (8)1 : 2
9Putintseva Y.Dolehide C.2 : 0
10Pavlyuchenkova A. (20)Kasatkina D. (10)0 : 2
11Krueger A.Bejlek S.0 : 2
12Sherif M.Rybakina E. (4)0 : 2
13Vondrousova M. (7)Andreeva M.0 : 2
14Garcia C. (21)Paolini J. (12)0 : 2
15Collins D. (13)Cristian J.2 : 1
16Montgomery R.Sabalenka A. (2)1 : 2

1/8-finals
1Swiatek I. (1)Sorribes Tormo S.2 : 0
2Haddad Maia B. (11)Sakkari M. (5)2 : 0
3Gauff C. (3)Keys M. (18)1 : 2
4Ostapenko J. (9)Jabeur O. (8)0 : 2
5Putintseva Y.Kasatkina D. (10)2 : 1
6Bejlek S.Rybakina E. (4)0 : 2
7Andreeva M.Paolini J. (12)2 : 0
8Collins D. (13)Sabalenka A. (2)1 : 2

Quarter-finals
1Swiatek I. (1)Haddad Maia B. (11)2 : 1
2Keys M. (18)Jabeur O. (8)2 : 1
3Putintseva Y.Rybakina E. (4)1 : 2
4Andreeva M.Sabalenka A. (2)0 : 2

Semi-finals
1Swiatek I. (1)Keys M. (18)2 : 0
2Rybakina E. (4)Sabalenka A. (2)1 : 2

Final
1Swiatek I. (1)Sabalenka A. (2)2 : 1
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