Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA Roland Garros Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek
Result
2:1
05/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Semi-finals
Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
57%57%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (37/52)53% (24/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (17/39)35% (12/34)
Break Points Saved
45% (5/11)20% (2/10)
Average 1st Serve Speed
177 km/h173 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
149 km/h140 km/h
1st Return Points Won
47% (21/45)31% (16/52)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (22/34)56% (22/39)
Break Points Converted
80% (8/10)55% (6/11)
Winners
2929
Unforced Errors
2535
Net Points Won
50% (4/8)69% (11/16)
Service Points Won
59% (54/91)46% (36/79)
Return Points Won
54% (43/79)41% (37/91)
Total Points Won
57% (97/170)43% (73/170)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)43% (6/14)
Return Games Won
57% (8/14)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
57% (16/28)43% (12/28)

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
53.5%
Iga Swiatek
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aryna Sabalenka that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iga Swiatek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.94)

    2.07
    (1.89)
    4.3%
    (4.5%)
    What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek?
  • Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 58 - 77.3%). Swiatek will win (votes: 17 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 67.8%86.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Swiatek (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 5.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 2.
    • Both players have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Sabalenka will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2
    18.05.2024 Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka 2:0
    04.05.2024 Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka 2:1
    23.12.2023 Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka 0:1
    05.11.2023 Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek 0:2
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of Iga Swiatek
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    2Stefanini L. (Q)Teichmann J.0 : 2
    3Collins D.Burrage J.2 : 0
    4Danilovic O.Fernandez L. (27)2 : 0
    5Tauson C. (22)Linette M.2 : 1
    6Rus A.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Kvitova P.Golubic V.1 : 2
    8Stojanovic N. (RET.) (Q)Anisimova A. (16)0 : 1
    9Shnaider D. (11)Sobolieva A. (Q)2 : 0
    10Yastremska D.Aiava D. (WC)2 : 0
    11Romero Gormaz L. (Q)Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)2 : 0
    12Sherif M.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    13Stearns P. (28)Lys E.0 : 2
    14Mboko V. (Q)Sun L.2 : 0
    15Eala A.Arango E.1 : 2
    16Pavlyuchenkova A.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    17Paolini J. (4)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    18Tomljanovic A.Joint M.2 : 0
    19Korpatsch T. (Q)Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    20Potapova A.Noskova L. (29)2 : 1
    21Vekic D. (18)Blinkova A.2 : 1
    22Garcia C.Pera B.0 : 2
    23Siegemund L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    24Sonmez Z.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    25Rybakina E. (12)Riera J. (Q)2 : 1
    26Jovic I. (WC)Zarazua R.2 : 1
    27Dolehide C.Minnen G.2 : 1
    28Kudermetova P.Ostapenko J. (21)1 : 2
    29Kostyuk M. (26)Bejlek S. (Q)0 : 2
    30Cristian J.Birrell K.2 : 0
    31Raducanu E.Wang Xin.2 : 1
    32Sramkova R.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    33Andreeva M. (6)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    34Lamens S.Krueger A.0 : 2
    35Volynets K.Garland J. (Q)1 : 2
    36Sierra S. (Q)Putintseva Y. (32)0 : 2
    37Kasatkina D. (17)Siniakova K.2 : 1
    38Jeanjean L. (WC)Begu I. (RET.)1 : 1
    39Ruse G.Kessler M.2 : 0
    40Osaka N.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    41Muchova K. (14)Parks A.1 : 2
    42Jacquemot E. (WC)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    43Avanesyan E.Kalinina A.0 : 2
    44Boisson L. (WC)Mertens E. (24)2 : 1
    45Frech M. (25)Jabeur O.2 : 0
    46Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    47Carle M. L. (Q)Li A.0 : 2
    48Todoni A. A.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    49Keys M. (7)Saville D. (Q)2 : 0
    50Monnet C. (Q)Boulter K.1 : 2
    51Wickmayer Y.Azarenka V.0 : 2
    52Gracheva V.Kenin S. (31)0 : 2
    53Haddad Maia B. (23)Baptiste H.1 : 2
    54Hibino N. (Q)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    55Parry D. (WC)Montgomery R.0 : 2
    56Bouzas Maneiro J.Navarro E. (9)2 : 0
    57Krejcikova B. (15)Maria T.2 : 0
    58Kudermetova V.Tomova V.2 : 0
    59Townsend T. (LL)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    60Bronzetti L.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    61Kalinskaya A. (30)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    62Kartal S.Andreeva E.2 : 0
    63Paquet C. (WC)Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    64Gadecki O.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Teichmann J.2 : 0
    2Collins D.Danilovic O.1 : 2
    3Tauson C. (22)Rus A.2 : 0
    4Golubic V.Anisimova A. (16)0 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (11)Yastremska D.0 : 2
    6Romero Gormaz L.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    7Lys E.Mboko V.0 : 2
    8Arango E.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    9Paolini J. (4)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    10Starodubtseva Y.Potapova A.2 : 0
    11Vekic D. (18)Pera B.1 : 2
    12Bondar A.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (12)Jovic I.2 : 0
    14Dolehide C.Ostapenko J. (21)1 : 2
    15Bejlek S.Cristian J.1 : 2
    16Raducanu E.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    17Andreeva M. (6)Krueger A.2 : 0
    18Garland J.Putintseva Y. (32)0 : 2
    19Kasatkina D. (17)Jeanjean L.2 : 0
    20Ruse G.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    21Parks A.Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    22Kalinina A.Boisson L.0 : 2
    23Frech M. (25)Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    24Li A.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (7)Boulter K.2 : 0
    26Azarenka V.Kenin S. (31)0 : 2
    27Baptiste H.Hibino N.2 : 0
    28Montgomery R.Bouzas Maneiro J.1 : 2
    29Krejcikova B. (15)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    30Cocciaretto E.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    31Bouzkova M.Kartal S.2 : 0
    32Valentova T.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Danilovic O.2 : 0
    2Tauson C. (22)Anisimova A. (16)0 : 2
    3Yastremska D.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    4Mboko V.Zheng Q. (8)0 : 2
    5Paolini J. (4)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    6Pera B.Svitolina E. (13)0 : 2
    7Rybakina E. (12)Ostapenko J. (21)2 : 0
    8Cristian J.Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (6)Putintseva Y. (32)2 : 0
    10Kasatkina D. (17)Badosa P. (10)2 : 0
    11Jacquemot E.Boisson L.1 : 2
    12Vondrousova M.Pegula J. (3)1 : 2
    13Keys M. (7)Kenin S. (31)2 : 1
    14Baptiste H.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    15Kudermetova V.Alexandrova E. (20)0 : 2
    16Bouzkova M.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (16)2 : 0
    2Samsonova L. (19)Zheng Q. (8)1 : 2
    3Paolini J. (4)Svitolina E. (13)1 : 2
    4Rybakina E. (12)Swiatek I. (5)1 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (6)Kasatkina D. (17)2 : 0
    6Boisson L.Pegula J. (3)2 : 1
    7Keys M. (7)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    8Alexandrova E. (20)Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (8)2 : 0
    2Svitolina E. (13)Swiatek I. (5)0 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (6)Boisson L.0 : 2
    4Keys M. (7)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Swiatek I. (5)2 : 1
    2Boisson L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilESPN 2
    bulgariaBulgariaMax
    croatiaCroatiaMax
    czech-republicCzech-republicMax
    denmarkDenmarkEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max
    finlandFinlandEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max
    franceFranceFrance TV Rolan Garros, Max
    hungaryHungaryMax
    norwayNorwayMAX
    polandPolandMax
    romaniaRomaniaMax
    serbiaSerbiaMax
    sloveniaSloveniaMax
    swedenSwedenMax
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSRF 2, SRF 2
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1
    usaUsaMax
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan