Oulu vs IFK Mariehamn: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Oulu - IFK Mariehamn
Result
0:1
17/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
Oulu - IFK Mariehamn - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.99
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
81% (408/506)61% (150/244)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.00
Total shots
184
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
101
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
70
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2717
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
81% (408/506)61% (150/244)
Long passes
44% (26/59)30% (22/74)
Passes in final third
68% (96/141)53% (40/75)
Crosses
29% (6/21)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.22
Throw-ins
3027
Fouls
1010
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (18/24)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
2126
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.001.05
Goals prevented
0.011.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Toivonen E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Dahlstrom S. (Pen),
  • 65', Patut E. , Andersson L. ,
  • 66', Silander S. , Lehtonen J. ,
  • 70', Koskela M. 🟨,
  • 73', Paananen J. , Paananen A. ,
  • 73', Tiihonen O. , Korkko J. ,
  • 88', Dumbuya A. 🟨,
  • 90', Olawale M. , Lundberg A. ,
  • 90', Cardoso H. , Nunez W. ,
  • 90', Dumbuya A. , Salmensuu O. ,
  • 90', Barrow D. , Pitkanen M. ,
  • 90+2', Fonsell M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Oulu
52.1%
Draw
26.2%
IFK Mariehamn
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 25% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 26.3% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oulu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Oulu - IFK Mariehamn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.72)
    3.62
    (3.79)
    4.38
    (4.72)
    5.6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Oulu - IFK Mariehamn?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Oulu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Oulu is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M. (Inactive) Riikonen M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 1:2
    01.09.2024 IFK Mariehamn - Oulu 2:1
    17.05.2024 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    16.09.2023 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 3:2
    09.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn - Oulu 1:2
    Latest results of Oulu
    10.05.2025 Oulu - Gnistan 2:3
    07.05.2025 JS Hercules - Oulu 1:5
    02.05.2025 KTP Kotka - Oulu 1:3
    26.04.2025 Oulu - Inter Turku 1:4
    23.04.2025 SJK - Oulu 3:1
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    06.05.2025 LPS - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    03.05.2025 Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn 2:0
    27.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Ilves 3:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS871016:41222
    2Inter Turku743016:61015
    3SJK842213:10314
    4Ilves740316:12412
    5VPS732211:12-111
    6HJK731313:8510
    7Gnistan731311:12-110
    8Mariehamn83149:14-510
    9Haka721410:13-37
    10Jaro72146:9-37
    11KTP71157:20-134
    12AC Oulu810711:19-83

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Oulu - IFK Mariehamn?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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