IFK Mariehamn vs Oulu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga IFK Mariehamn - Oulu
Result
0:1
26/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
IFK Mariehamn - Oulu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.81
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
02
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
80% (349/437)80% (322/404)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.74
Total shots
916
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
828
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
63
Free Kicks
88
Passes
80% (349/437)80% (322/404)
Long passes
38% (19/50)37% (23/62)
Passes in final third
68% (70/103)69% (97/140)
Crosses
13% (2/15)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.67
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
88
Tackles
67% (14/21)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5556
Clearances
2911
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.740.00
Goals prevented
-0.180.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Cardoso H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Reid J. 🟨,
  • 64', Dahlstrom S. 🟨,
  • 64', Harrison S. , Korkko J. ,
  • 64', Cardoso H. , Olawale M. ,
  • 64', Huttunen A. , Heyden J. ,
  • 79', Paananen J. , Fadera M. ,
  • 80', Reid J. , Muskwe A. ,
  • 82', Kaukua T. 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Fadera M. , Kaukua T. (A),
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90', Lehtonen J. , Silander S. ,
  • 90', Jokelainen N. , Paananen A. ,
  • 90+6', Adedoyin K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
30.9%
Draw
27.9%
Oulu
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 27.8% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 27.3% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • IFK Mariehamn - Oulu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.2)
    3.41
    (3.3)
    2.3
    (2.1)
    5.6%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Oulu?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oulu will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3.
    • Mariehamn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Oulu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Oulu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Oulu has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M. (Inactive) Patut E. (Yellow Cards) Raitanen P. (Knee Injury) Toivonen E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Oulu: Ndione M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Oulu were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    19.10.2024 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 1:2
    01.09.2024 IFK Mariehamn - Oulu 2:1
    17.05.2024 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    16.09.2023 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 3:2
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    21.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Haka 1:1
    06.07.2025 FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    28.06.2025 SJK - IFK Mariehamn 4:1
    Latest results of Oulu
    20.07.2025 HJK - Oulu 3:1
    13.07.2025 Oulu - KTP Kotka 3:2
    04.07.2025 Oulu - KuPS Kuopio 2:2
    28.06.2025 Oulu - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    24.06.2025 Oulu - SJK 2:0
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ilves17112437:191835
    2Inter Turku1697032:122034
    3KuPS1794428:181031
    4HJK1692535:181729
    5SJK1684431:23828
    6VPS1755726:27-120
    7Gnistan1655621:27-620
    8Mariehamn1745816:32-1617
    9Jaro1744919:27-816
    10Haka1744919:30-1116
    11AC Oulu17431023:35-1215
    12KTP1735921:40-1914

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

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