Result
3:2
27/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 1.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
77% (252/329) | 84% (410/490) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 1.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.29 | 1.73 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 33 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
77% (252/329) | 84% (410/490) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (28/64) | 45% (22/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (55/94) | 68% (90/133) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (2/11) | 42% (10/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 1.15 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (14/20) | 86% (6/7) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
35 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.73 | 1.29 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.27 | -1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', Virtanen O. 🟥,
- 6', Kanga J. ↓, Krkalic F. ↑,
- 17', 1 - 0, Dahlstrom S. ⚽, Cardoso H. (A),
- 29', 2 - 0, Kujasalo N. ⚽, Patut E. (A),
- 32', Kujasalo N. 🟨,
- 40', Nissinen J. 🟨,
- 42', Toivonen E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 2 - 1, Miettunen T. ⚽, Soderback M. (A),
- 57', Tiitinen O. ↓, Jukkola O. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 2, Rale M. ⚽, Popovitch A. (A),
- 61', 3 - 2, Olawale M. ⚽,
- 80', Patut E. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
- 82', Riski Ro. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
- 82', Veteli J. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 82', Stjopin M. ↓, Ala-Myllymaki L. ↑,
- 85', Hytonen T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Huttunen A. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
Chances of winning
IFK Mariehamn 13.2% | Draw 21.1% | Ilves 65.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IFK Mariehamn's form might have worsened.Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Mariehamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
IFK Mariehamn - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.26 ↑ (4.85) |
4.48 ↑ (4.2) |
1.44 ↓ (1.62) |
5.7% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Ilves?
The most likely score is 0:2.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 0.
- Recent matches Mariehamn is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ilves in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Ilves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Ilves have a series of home games.
- In this match Ilves is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Ilves: Moisio J.
(Injury)
Ulundu V.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mariehamn: Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 19:36 (average 1:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mariehamn won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:20 (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against Ilves?
IFK Mariehamn has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against IFK Mariehamn?
Ilves has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Ilves were as follows:
11.08.2024
Ilves
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:0
28.04.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
Ilves
0:1
27.09.2023
Ilves
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
15.07.2023
Ilves
-
IFK Mariehamn
0:0
05.04.2023
IFK Mariehamn
-
Ilves
1:1
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | KuPS | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
2 | Inter Turku | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 15 |
3 | SJK | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 14 |
4 | Ilves | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 12 |
5 | VPS | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
6 | HJK | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
7 | Gnistan | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Mariehamn | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
9 | Haka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
10 | Jaro | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
11 | KTP | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 4 |
12 | AC Oulu | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of IFK Mariehamn - Ilves?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Finland | Ruutu+ |
World | Onefootball |