IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga IFK Mariehamn - Ilves
Result
3:2
27/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
IFK Mariehamn - Ilves - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.62
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1322
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
011
Passes
77% (252/329)84% (410/490)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.73
Total shots
1322
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
714
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
011
Touches in opposition box
2133
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
77% (252/329)84% (410/490)
Long passes
44% (28/64)45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
59% (55/94)68% (90/133)
Crosses
18% (2/11)42% (10/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.15
Throw-ins
1625
Fouls
1111
Tackles
70% (14/20)86% (6/7)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
3516
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.731.29
Goals prevented
-0.27-1.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', Virtanen O. 🟥,
  • 6', Kanga J. , Krkalic F. ,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Dahlstrom S. , Cardoso H. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Kujasalo N. , Patut E. (A),
  • 32', Kujasalo N. 🟨,
  • 40', Nissinen J. 🟨,
  • 42', Toivonen E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Miettunen T. , Soderback M. (A),
  • 57', Tiitinen O. , Jukkola O. ,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Rale M. , Popovitch A. (A),
  • 61', 3 - 2, Olawale M. ,
  • 80', Patut E. , Andersson L. ,
  • 82', Riski Ro. , Hytonen T. ,
  • 82', Veteli J. , Akinyemi A. ,
  • 82', Stjopin M. , Ala-Myllymaki L. ,
  • 85', Hytonen T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Huttunen A. , Nunez W. ,

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
13.2%
Draw
21.1%
Ilves
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.4% 22.4% 58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19% 21.9% 59.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IFK Mariehamn's form might have worsened.
  • Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Mariehamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • IFK Mariehamn - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.26
    (4.85)
    4.48
    (4.2)
    1.44
    (1.62)
    5.7%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Ilves?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 0.
    • Recent matches Mariehamn is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ilves in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Ilves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Ilves have a series of home games.
    • In this match Ilves is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Ilves: Moisio J. (Injury) Ulundu V. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mariehamn: Raitanen P. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 19:36 (average 1:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mariehamn won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:20 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Ilves were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Ilves - IFK Mariehamn 2:0
    28.04.2024 IFK Mariehamn - Ilves 0:1
    27.09.2023 Ilves - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    15.07.2023 Ilves - IFK Mariehamn 0:0
    05.04.2023 IFK Mariehamn - Ilves 1:1
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    19.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn - SJK 1:2
    12.04.2025 Haka - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    05.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn - FF Jaro 0:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    19.04.2025 KTP Kotka - Ilves 0:5
    12.04.2025 Ilves - FF Jaro 2:1
    05.04.2025 Ilves - HJK 3:2
    28.03.2025 Ilves - Gnistan 4:0
    14.03.2025 Ilves - Oulu 3:0
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS871016:41222
    2Inter Turku743016:61015
    3SJK842213:10314
    4Ilves740316:12412
    5VPS732211:12-111
    6HJK731313:8510
    7Gnistan731311:12-110
    8Mariehamn83149:14-510
    9Haka721410:13-37
    10Jaro72146:9-37
    11KTP71157:20-134
    12AC Oulu810711:19-83

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

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