Elfsborg vs IFK Göteborg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg
Result
4:3
28/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 17
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.53
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
122
Passes
75% (270/358)70% (185/265)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.111.57
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
122
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
75% (270/358)70% (185/265)
Long passes
44% (32/72)41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
53% (60/114)59% (43/73)
Crosses
44% (15/34)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.530.40
Throw-ins
1537
Fouls
1313
Tackles
79% (15/19)91% (10/11)
Duels won
4950
Clearances
3150
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.572.11
Goals prevented
-1.46-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 4', Fenger M. (Pen),
  • 4', 0 - 1, Heintz T. , Fenger M. (A),
  • 14', 0 - 2, Fenger M. , Clemmensen S. (A),
  • 17', Heintz T. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 2, Wikstrom R. , Hedlund S. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 3, Alioum S. , Heintz T. (A),
  • 27', Ostman L. 🟨,
  • 41', Yegbe T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Santos T. 🟨,
  • 59', Ostman L. , Zeneli A. ,
  • 59', Holmen S. , Larsson J. ,
  • 62', 2 - 3, Erlingmark A. (Own goal),
  • 63', Kruse D. 🟨,
  • 70', Silverholt T. , Frick P. ,
  • 71', Thordarson K. , Jagne I. ,
  • 76', Clemmensen S. , Yeboah R. ,
  • 77', Santos T. , Svensson G. ,
  • 84', Wenderson , Thomasen J. ,
  • 84', Ihler F. , Sigurpalsson A. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 3, Larsson J. , Hedlund S. (A),
  • 90+5', 4 - 3, Larsson J. ,
  • 90+7', Yeboah R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Elfsborg
40.5%
Draw
26.8%
IFK Göteborg
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 25.5% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26.1% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elfsborg's form might have worsened.
  • IFK Göteborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IFK Göteborg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elfsborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IFK Göteborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (1.96)
    3.63
    (3.69)
    2.94
    (3.56)
    2.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 34 - 75.6%). Göteborg will win (votes: 4 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 63.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH -0.25 - Elfsborg (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elfsborg will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 3.
    • Elfsborg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Göteborg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Elfsborg could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg were as follows:
    12.07.2025 IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg 1:2
    25.08.2024 Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg 3:1
    01.06.2024 IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg 1:0
    30.10.2023 IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg 1:2
    16.07.2023 Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg 1:1
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    19.07.2025 Djurgården - Elfsborg 1:0
    12.07.2025 IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg 1:2
    06.07.2025 Elfsborg - Häcken 0:2
    29.06.2025 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    19.06.2025 Elfsborg - Mjällby 0:1
    Latest results of IFK Göteborg
    20.07.2025 Sirius - IFK Göteborg 0:1
    12.07.2025 IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg 1:2
    06.07.2025 IFK Göteborg - Sirius 3:1
    29.06.2025 AIK - IFK Göteborg 3:0
    19.06.2025 IFK Göteborg - Öster 3:3
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby22165142:162653
    2Hammarby22143542:212145
    3AIK22117428:19940
    4Malmo FF22108434:181638
    5GAIS22108433:201338
    6Goteborg22122831:27438
    7Elfsborg22113837:32536
    8Djurgarden2297628:20834
    9Brommapojkarna22821235:35026
    10Hacken22751032:38-626
    11Norrkoping22741133:43-1025
    12Sirius22651132:36-423
    13Halmstad22631317:42-2521
    14Oster22461217:31-1418
    15Degerfors22441421:44-2316
    16Varnamo22261423:43-2012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play
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