Hume City vs South Melbourne: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian NPL Victoria Hume City - South Melbourne
Result
1:1
21/03/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: NPL Victoria - Round 7
Hume City - South Melbourne - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
35
Shots on Goal
13
Shots off Goal
22
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Brennan A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Isgrove L. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Hume City
49.8%
Draw
26.4%
South Melbourne
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 25.5% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 24.4% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hume City's performance.
  • South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Melbourne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hume City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Melbourne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hume City - South Melbourne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.23)
    3.47
    (3.58)
    3.84
    (2.71)
    9.3%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hume City won 0.
    • Hume City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • South Melbourne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Hume City will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Hume City won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 17:33 (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hume City won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hume City - South Melbourne were as follows:
    11.09.2024 Hume City - South Melbourne 2:3
    30.08.2024 South Melbourne - Hume City 1:0
    01.06.2024 Hume City - South Melbourne 0:1
    26.02.2024 South Melbourne - Hume City 1:0
    09.07.2023 South Melbourne - Hume City 2:2
    Latest results of Hume City
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avondale FC17140349:193042
    2Heidelberg Utd17132240:172341
    3Dandenong Thunder17113340:221836
    4Oakleigh Cannons16111435:171834
    5Hume City1793529:26330
    6Preston Lions1784523:21228
    7Dandenong City1765631:29223
    8Green Gully1764725:28-322
    9Altona Magic1745814:26-1217
    10South Melbourne1744918:30-1216
    11St Albans17341028:35-713
    12Melbourne Victory U2117331124:38-1412
    13Port Melbourne Sharks17321216:41-2511
    14Melbourne Knights16301315:38-239

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League

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