Hull City vs Southampton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Hull City - Southampton
Result
3:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 6
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Hull City - Southampton - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.02
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
71% (180/252)88% (534/609)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.02
xG on target (xGOT)
2.441.45
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1823
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
71% (180/252)88% (534/609)
Long passes
43% (24/56)53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
57% (34/60)80% (153/191)
Crosses
36% (4/11)12% (4/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.13
Throw-ins
1126
Fouls
1510
Tackles
63% (10/16)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4951
Clearances
3921
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.452.44
Goals prevented
0.45-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Lundstram J. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Joseph K. ,
  • 45', Belloumi M. , Gyabi D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Giles R. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Lundstram J. , McBurnie O. (A),
  • 62', Gelhardt J. , Akintola B. ,
  • 62', Hadziahmetovic A. , Slater R. ,
  • 62', Downs D. , Archer C. ,
  • 62', Roerslev Rasmussen M. , Scienza L. ,
  • 63', Fellows T. , Armstrong A. ,
  • 70', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
  • 70', 3 - 0, McBurnie O. , Giles R. (A),
  • 75', Azaz F. , Stewart R. ,
  • 82', Lundstram J. , Destan E. ,
  • 82', Joseph K. , Palmer K. ,
  • 83', Manning R. , Jelert E. ,
  • 85', Destan E. 🟨,
  • 85', Stephens J. 🟨,
  • 87', Slater R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pandur I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Stewart R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Armstrong A. , Fraser R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hull City
37.1%
Draw
28.3%
Southampton
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 26.4% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 25.4% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hull City's performance.
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southampton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southampton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hull City - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (3.5)
    3.57
    (3.5)
    3.05
    (1.96)
    -2.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hull City - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hull City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 2.
    • Recent form of Hull has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • S`hampton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • S`hampton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S. (Hamstring Injury) Crooks M. (Ankle Injury) Furlong J. (Health problems) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Millar L. (Knee Injury) Vaughan H. (Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Welington (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hull: Tinsdale N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Aribo J. (Inactive) Edozie S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hull won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hull City - Southampton were as follows:
    20.02.2024 Southampton - Hull City 1:2
    21.10.2023 Hull City - Southampton 1:2
    Latest results of Hull City
    13.09.2025 Swansea City - Hull City 2:2
    30.08.2025 Bristol City - Hull City 4:2
    17.08.2025 Hull City - Oxford United 3:2
    12.08.2025 Wrexham - Hull City 4:3
    Latest results of Southampton
    14.09.2025 Southampton - Portsmouth 0:0
    30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2
    26.08.2025 Norwich City - Southampton 0:3
    23.08.2025 Southampton - Stoke City 1:2
    17.08.2025 Ipswich Town - Southampton 1:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough752012:5717
    2Coventry734018:71113
    3Stoke741210:5513
    4Bristol City733113:7612
    5Leicester73319:6312
    6Preston73317:5212
    7Charlton73227:5211
    8West Brom73228:7111
    9QPR732211:13-211
    10Millwall73226:8-211
    11Birmingham73135:8-310
    12Ipswich623111:659
    13Swansea72327:619
    14Norwich722310:1008
    15Wrexham722312:13-18
    16Watford72237:8-18
    17Portsmouth72235:7-28
    18Hull722311:14-38
    19Southampton71428:10-27
    20Blackburn62045:8-36
    21Derby71339:13-46
    22Oxford Utd71249:11-25
    23Sheffield Wed71246:13-75
    24Sheffield Utd71062:13-113

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Hull City - Southampton?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
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