Result
0:3
26/08/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 48% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 69% (29/42) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 49% (22/45) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 55% (6/11) |
| Average 1st Serve Speed |
|---|
| 152 km/h | 164 km/h |
| Average 2nd Serve Speed |
|---|
| 129 km/h | 128 km/h |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (13/42) | 50% (29/58) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 60% (24/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 39% (9/23) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 76% (28/37) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (45/96) | 59% (50/85) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (35/85) | 53% (51/96) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (80/181) | 56% (101/181) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 62% (18/29) |
| Distance Covered (metres) |
|---|
| 1678 | 1701 |
Chances of winning
Hugo Gaston
38.7% | Shintaro Mochizuki
61.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Hugo Gaston - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.2) |
|
1.55 ↓
(1.67) |
4.9%
(5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Shintaro Mochizuki?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gaston (votes: 1 - 50%). Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Shintaro Mochizuki will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
Preview Facts
- Gaston is ranked ATP: 123. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 112.
- Gaston is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mochizuki is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mochizuki might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Mochizuki will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gaston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hugo Gaston won against Shintaro Mochizuki?
Hugo Gaston has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shintaro Mochizuki won against Hugo Gaston?
Shintaro Mochizuki has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hugo Gaston - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
24.06.2024
Hugo Gaston
-
Shintaro Mochizuki
2:0
Latest results of Hugo Gaston
Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Kopriva V. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. | Ruusuvuori E. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Royer V. (WC) | Bu Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. | Shapovalov D. (27) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (23) | Cilic M. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Sonego L. | Schoolkate T. (WC) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Borges N. | Holt B. | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Moller E. | Paul T. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (10) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Halys Q. | Goffin D. | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Brooksby J. | Vukic A. | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Passaro F. (Q) | Cobolli F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Diallo G. (31) | Dzumhur D. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Munar J. | Faria J. (LL) | 3 : 1 |
| 15 | Bergs Z. | Tseng C. H. | 3 : 0 |
| 16 | Gomez F. A. (Q) | Draper J. (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Zverev A. (3) | Tabilo A. | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. | Fearnley J. | 1 : 3 |
| 19 | Monfils G. | Safiullin R. | 2 : 3 |
| 20 | Harris B. (LL) | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Humbert U. (22) | Walton A. | 1 : 3 |
| 22 | Kovacevic A. | Wong C. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Duckworth J. (LL) | Boyer T. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 24 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Rublev A. (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Khachanov K. (9) | Basavareddy N. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Dellien H. | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 3 |
| 27 | Riedi L. (Q) | Martinez P. | 3 : 0 |
| 28 | Arnaldi M. | Cerundolo F. (19) | 2 : 3 |
| 29 | Tsitsipas S. (26) | Muller A. | 3 : 1 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Medjedovic H. | 3 : 2 |
| 31 | Gaston H. | Mochizuki S. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 32 | O'Connell C. | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 3 |
| 33 | Djokovic N. (7) | Tien L. | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Svajda Z. (Q) | Piros Z. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 35 | Norrie C. | Korda S. (RET.) | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Comesana F. | Michelsen A. (28) | 3 : 1 |
| 37 | Tiafoe F. (17) | Nishioka Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 38 | Damm M. (Q) | Blanch Dar. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 39 | Struff J-L. (Q) | McDonald M. | 3 : 1 |
| 40 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Rune H. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 41 | Mensik J. (16) | Jarry N. | 3 : 0 |
| 42 | Blanchet U. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 3 : 1 |
| 43 | Fonseca J. | Kecmanovic M. | 3 : 0 |
| 44 | Nardi L. | Machac T. (21) | 0 : 3 |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (30) | De Jong J. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 46 | Kym J. (Q) | Quinn E. | 3 : 1 |
| 47 | Baez S. | Harris L. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 48 | Nava E. (WC) | Fritz T. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (6) | Buse I. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Carreno-Busta P. | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 51 | Thompson J. | Moutet C. | 3 : 1 |
| 52 | Mannarino A. | Griekspoor T. (29) | 3 : 0 |
| 53 | Lehecka J. (20) | Coric B. | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Etcheverry T. M. | 0 : 3 |
| 55 | Galan D. E. (Alt) | Collignon R. | 0 : 3 |
| 56 | Ofner S. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Medvedev D. (13) | Bonzi B. | 2 : 3 |
| 58 | Navone M. | Giron M. | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Carballes Baena R. | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 3 |
| 60 | Shevchenko A. | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | 0 : 3 |
| 61 | Darderi L. (32) | Hijikata R. | 3 : 0 |
| 62 | Dostanic S. (WC) | Spizzirri E. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 63 | Bellucci M. | Shang J. (RET.) | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Opelka R. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Popyrin A. | |
| 2 | Royer V. | Shapovalov D. (27) | |
| 3 | Bublik A. (23) | Schoolkate T. | |
| 4 | Borges N. | Paul T. (14) | |
| 5 | Musetti L. (10) | Goffin D. | |
| 6 | Brooksby J. | Cobolli F. (24) | |
| 7 | Diallo G. (31) | Munar J. | |
| 8 | Bergs Z. (WO.) | Draper J. (5) | |
| 9 | Zverev A. (3) | Fearnley J. | |
| 10 | Safiullin R. | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | |
| 11 | Walton A. | Wong C. | |
| 12 | Boyer T. | Rublev A. (15) | |
| 13 | Khachanov K. (9) | Majchrzak K. | |
| 14 | Riedi L. | Cerundolo F. (19) | |
| 15 | Tsitsipas S. (26) | Altmaier D. | |
| 16 | Mochizuki S. | De Minaur A. (8) | |
| 17 | Djokovic N. (7) | Svajda Z. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Norrie C. | Comesana F. | 3 : 1 |
| 19 | Tiafoe F. (17) | Damm M. | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Struff J-L. | Rune H. (11) | 3 : 2 |
| 21 | Mensik J. (16) | Blanchet U. | 2 : 3 |
| 22 | Fonseca J. | Machac T. (21) | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (30) | Kym J. | 2 : 3 |
| 24 | Harris L. | Fritz T. (4) | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (6) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Thompson J. | Mannarino A. | 1 : 3 |
| 27 | Lehecka J. (20) | Etcheverry T. M. | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Collignon R. | Ruud C. (12) | 3 : 2 |
| 29 | Bonzi B. | Giron M. | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Rinderknech A. | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | 3 : 2 |
| 31 | Darderi L. (32) | Spizzirri E. | 3 : 1 |
| 32 | Bellucci M. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
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