Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Geneva Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston
Result
2:1
19/05/2025 at 09:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals
Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
80
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
61%54%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (43/58)65% (33/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (18/37)57% (25/44)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
35% (18/51)26% (15/58)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (19/44)51% (19/37)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)38% (3/8)
Winners
3118
Unforced Errors
2920
Net Points Won
53% (8/15)75% (9/12)
Service Points Won
64% (61/95)61% (58/95)
Return Points Won
39% (37/95)36% (34/95)
Total Points Won
52% (98/190)48% (92/190)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
71%
Hugo Gaston
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.9% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.3)

    3.26
    (3.5)
    5.2%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 37. Gaston is ranked ATP: 78.
    • Arnaldi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gaston has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arnaldi is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arnaldi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    14.05.2025 Sumit Nagal - Hugo Gaston 0:2
    30.04.2025 Borna Gojo - Hugo Gaston Gaston H. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Munar J.Halys Q.1 : 2
    3Rinderknech A.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    4Cazaux A. (WC)Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (4)Bye
    6Nishikori K.Tien L.2 : 1
    7Ofner S. (Q)Gakhov I. (Q)2 : 0
    8Borges N.Michelsen A. (7)2 : 1
    9Popyrin A. (5)Jarry N.2 : 1
    10Lajovic D. (WC)Fearnley J.0 : 2
    11Norrie C. (Q)Stricker D. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (3)
    13Arnaldi M. (8)Gaston H.2 : 1
    14Sell K. (Q)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    15Fucsovics M.Bergs Z.2 : 0
    16ByeDjokovic N. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Halys Q.2 : 0
    2Rinderknech A.Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    3Khachanov K. (4)Nishikori K. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Ofner S.Borges N.2 : 0
    5Popyrin A. (5)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    6Norrie C.Machac T. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Arnaldi M. (8)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    8Fucsovics M.Djokovic N. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    2Khachanov K. (4)Ofner S.1 : 2
    3Popyrin A. (5)Norrie C.0 : 2
    4Arnaldi M. (8)Djokovic N. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Hurkacz H. (6)Ofner S.2 : 0
    2Norrie C.Djokovic N. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Hurkacz H. (6)Djokovic N. (2)1 : 2
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