Hugo Gaston vs Luca Nardi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Madrid Hugo Gaston - Luca Nardi
Result
2:0
22/04/2025 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final
Hugo Gaston - Luca Nardi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
16
1st Serve Percentage
50%59%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (25/31)68% (26/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (18/31)46% (12/26)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
45% (17/38)26% (8/31)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (14/26)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)0% (0/3)
Winners
2120
Unforced Errors
2231
Net Points Won
82% (9/11)50% (9/18)
Service Points Won
69% (43/62)59% (38/64)
Return Points Won
41% (26/64)31% (19/62)
Total Points Won
55% (69/126)45% (57/126)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Hugo Gaston
55.7%
Luca Nardi
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Hugo Gaston - Luca Nardi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.75)

    2.11
    (2)
    7%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Luca Nardi?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Hugo Gaston will win! (5 of 6 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Gaston is ranked ATP: 80. Nardi is ranked ATP: 100.
    • Recent matches Gaston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nardi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Latest results of Luca Nardi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Bautista-Agut R.Munar J.2 : 1
    3Borges N.Carreno-Busta P. (WC)2 : 1
    4ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (28)
    5Cerundolo F. (20)Bye
    6Moutet C. (RET.)Mayot H. (Q)0 : 1
    7Comesana F.Martinez P.2 : 0
    8ByeFils A. (13)
    9Shelton B. (12)Bye
    10Mpetshi Perricard G.Navone M.0 : 2
    11Lajovic D. (Q)Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeMensik J. (22)
    13Popyrin A. (25)Bye
    14Michelsen A.Bublik A.0 : 2
    15Monfils G.Gojo B. (Q)2 : 1
    16ByeRublev A. (7)
    17Fritz T. (3)Bye
    18O'Connell C.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    19Bonzi B.Cilic M. (WC)2 : 0
    20ByeHurkacz H. (27)
    21Korda S. (23)Bye
    22Cina F. (WC)Wong C. (WC)2 : 0
    23Safiullin R.Rinderknech A.0 : 2
    24ByeRuud C. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (9)Bye
    26Fognini F. (Q)Djere L.0 : 2
    27Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    28ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (18)
    29Nakashima B. (31)Bye
    30Ofner S. (PR)Gaston H. (Q)2 : 0
    31Marozsan F.Cobolli F.0 : 2
    32ByeRune H. (8)
    33Draper J. (5)Bye
    34Griekspoor T.Kopriva V. (Q)2 : 0
    35Tien L.Giron M.1 : 2
    36ByeBerrettini M. (30)
    37Khachanov K. (24)Bye
    38Opelka R. (PR)Hijikata R. (LL)2 : 0
    39Fonseca J.Moller E. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByePaul T. (11)
    41Tiafoe F. (16)Bye
    42Halys Q.Darderi L.0 : 2
    43Goffin D. (RET.)Muller A.1 : 1
    44ByeHumbert U. (21)
    45Baez S. (32)Bye
    46Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 1
    47Arnaldi M.Coric B. (Q)2 : 1
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Sonego L.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    51Vukic A.Nishikori K.1 : 2
    52ByeShapovalov D. (29)
    53Tsitsipas S. (17)Bye
    54Van De Zandschulp B. (RET.) (LL)Struff J-L.1 : 1
    55Etcheverry T. M.Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    56ByeMusetti L. (10)
    57Dimitrov G. (15)Bye
    58Altmaier D. (Q)Jarry N.0 : 2
    59Bu Y.Fearnley J. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (19)
    61Lehecka J. (26)Bye
    62Landaluce M. (WC)Norrie C.1 : 2
    63Bergs Z.Diallo G. (LL)0 : 2
    64ByeMajchrzak K. (LL)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    2Borges N.Davidovich Fokina A. (28)0 : 2
    3Cerundolo F. (20)Mayot H.2 : 0
    4Comesana F.Fils A. (13)2 : 0
    5Shelton B. (12)Navone M.2 : 1
    6Quinn E.Mensik J. (22)0 : 2
    7Popyrin A. (25)Bublik A.0 : 2
    8Monfils G.Rublev A. (WO.) (7)
    9Fritz T. (3)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    10Bonzi B.Hurkacz H. (27)2 : 0
    11Korda S. (23)Cina F.2 : 1
    12Rinderknech A.Ruud C. (14)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (WO.) (9)Djere L.
    14Cerundolo J. M.Auger-Aliassime F. (18)2 : 0
    15Nakashima B. (31)Ofner S.2 : 0
    16Cobolli F.Rune H. (RET.) (8)1 : 0
    17Draper J. (5)Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    18Giron M.Berrettini M. (30)1 : 2
    19Khachanov K. (24)Opelka R.2 : 0
    20Fonseca J.Paul T. (11)0 : 2
    21Tiafoe F. (16)Darderi L. (RET.)1 : 0
    22Muller A.Humbert U. (21)2 : 1
    23Baez S. (32)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    24Arnaldi M.Djokovic N. (4)2 : 0
    25De Minaur A. (6)Sonego L.2 : 0
    26Nishikori K.Shapovalov D. (29)0 : 2
    27Tsitsipas S. (17)Struff J-L.2 : 1
    28Etcheverry T. M.Musetti L. (10)0 : 2
    29Dimitrov G. (15)Jarry N.2 : 0
    30Fearnley J.Machac T. (19)2 : 1
    31Lehecka J. (26)Norrie C.1 : 2
    32Diallo G. (LL)Majchrzak K. (LL)2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Davidovich Fokina A. (28)2 : 1
    2Cerundolo F. (20)Comesana F.2 : 0
    3Shelton B. (12)Mensik J. (22)0 : 2
    4Bublik A.Rublev A. (7)2 : 1
    5Fritz T. (3)Bonzi B. (RET.)1 : 1
    6Korda S. (23)Ruud C. (14)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0
    8Nakashima B. (31)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    9Draper J. (5)Berrettini M. (RET.) (30)1 : 0
    10Khachanov K. (24)Paul T. (11)1 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (16)Muller A.2 : 0
    12Dzumhur D.Arnaldi M.0 : 2
    13De Minaur A. (6)Shapovalov D. (29)2 : 0
    14Tsitsipas S. (17)Musetti L. (10)0 : 2
    15Dimitrov G. (15)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    16Norrie C.Diallo G.1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (20)0 : 2
    2Mensik J. (22)Bublik A.2 : 0
    3Fritz T. (3)Ruud C. (14)0 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)Nakashima B. (31)2 : 1
    5Draper J. (5)Paul T. (11)2 : 0
    6Tiafoe F. (16)Arnaldi M.0 : 2
    7De Minaur A. (6)Musetti L. (10)0 : 2
    8Dimitrov G. (15)Diallo G.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (20)Mensik J. (22)2 : 1
    2Ruud C. (14)Medvedev D. (9)2 : 0
    3Draper J. (5)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    4Musetti L. (10)Diallo G.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (20)Ruud C. (14)0 : 2
    2Draper J. (5)Musetti L. (10)2 : 0

    Final
    1Ruud C. (14)Draper J. (5)2 : 1
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