Hugo Gaston vs Joao Fonseca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Phoenix Challenger Men Hugo Gaston - Joao Fonseca
Result
0:2
14/03/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - Quarter-finals
Hugo Gaston - Joao Fonseca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
56%66%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (22/32)79% (30/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (10/25)50% (10/20)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
21% (8/38)31% (10/32)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (10/20)60% (15/25)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
56% (32/57)69% (40/58)
Return Points Won
31% (18/58)44% (25/57)
Total Points Won
43% (50/115)57% (65/115)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Hugo Gaston 23.2%Joao Fonseca 76.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Hugo Gaston 28.7%Joao Fonseca 71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Hugo Gaston 29.3%Joao Fonseca 70.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Gaston's form might have worsened.
  • Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hugo Gaston - Joao Fonseca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.98
    (3.23)

    1.22
    (1.3)
    7%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Joao Fonseca?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Gaston is ranked ATP: 93. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 80.
    • Gaston is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Fonseca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Fonseca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fonseca is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Bye
    2Fearnley J.Duckworth J.2 : 0
    3Smith C. (WC)Shevchenko A. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Eubanks C. (Alt)Safiullin R. (7)0 : 2
    5Martinez P. (3)Bye
    6Moutet C.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    7Hijikata R.Holt B. (WC)2 : 0
    8Bublik A.Vukic A. (5)2 : 1
    9Rinderknech A. (8)Opelka R. (Alt)1 : 2
    10Walton A.Gaston H.0 : 2
    11Kotov P.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    12ByeStruff J-L. (4)
    13Nardi L. (6)Nishikori K.0 : 2
    14Kukushkin M. (Q)Uchiyama Y. (Q)2 : 0
    15Tu L. (Q)Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    16ByeCobolli F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    2Smith C.Safiullin R. (7)2 : 0
    3Martinez P. (3)Moutet C.0 : 2
    4Hijikata R.Bublik A.1 : 2
    5Opelka R.Gaston H.0 : 2
    6Fonseca J.Struff J-L. (4)2 : 1
    7Nishikori K.Kukushkin M. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Spizzirri E.Cobolli F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Smith C.2 : 0
    2Moutet C.Bublik A.1 : 2
    3Gaston H.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    4Nishikori K.Cobolli F. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Bublik A.0 : 2
    2Fonseca J.Nishikori K.2 : 0

    Final
    1Bublik A.Fonseca J.0 : 2
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