Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Roma Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul
Result
0:2
15/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals
Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
62%58%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (31/44)74% (39/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
30% (8/27)45% (17/38)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)63% (5/8)
Average 1st Serve Speed
203 km/h182 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
167 km/h155 km/h
1st Return Points Won
26% (14/53)30% (13/44)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (21/38)70% (19/27)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)44% (4/9)
Winners
2316
Unforced Errors
4825
Net Points Won
93% (14/15)89% (8/9)
Service Points Won
55% (39/71)62% (56/91)
Return Points Won
38% (35/91)45% (32/71)
Total Points Won
46% (74/162)54% (88/162)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Hubert Hurkacz
31.8%
Tommy Paul
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 62.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubert Hurkacz's form might have worsened.
  • Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubert Hurkacz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.38)

    1.4
    (1.57)
    4.7%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 31. Paul is ranked ATP: 12.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Paul is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Paul will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul were as follows:
    16.05.2024 Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul 1:2
    13.03.2023 Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul 1:2
    Latest results of Hubert Hurkacz
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Navone M.Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    3De Jong J. (LL)Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (25)
    5Cerundolo F. (17)Bye
    6Gaston H.Jarry N.0 : 2
    7Carballes Baena R. (RET.)Ofner S. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeTiafoe F. (15)
    9Shelton B. (12)Bye
    10Barrios Vera T. (Q)Munar J.1 : 2
    11Vukic A.Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeKorda S. (22)
    13Berrettini M. (29)Bye
    14Fearnley J.Fognini F. (WC)2 : 0
    15Bublik A.Safiullin R.2 : 0
    16ByeRuud C. (6)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Diallo G.Giron M.1 : 2
    19Bellucci M.Martinez P.0 : 2
    20ByeHurkacz H. (30)
    21Mensik J. (20)Bye
    22Rinderknech A.Gigante M. (WC)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Fonseca J.2 : 0
    24ByeRublev A. (16)
    25Paul T. (11)Bye
    26Arnaldi M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    27Tien L.Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    28ByeMachac T. (19)
    29Dellien H. (LL)Bye
    30Borges N.Seyboth Wild T. (Q)1 : 2
    31Nardi L. (WC)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    33Draper J. (5)Bye
    34Bu Y.Darderi L.0 : 2
    35Kopriva V. (Q)Halys Q.2 : 0
    36ByeBaez S. (32)
    37Humbert U. (21)Bye
    38Hijikata R.Moutet C.1 : 2
    39Altmaier D.Comesana F.0 : 2
    40ByeRune H. (9)
    41Dimitrov G. (14)Bye
    42Passaro F. (WC)Tseng C. H. (Q)2 : 1
    43Sonego L.Burruchaga R. A. (Q)0 : 2
    44ByeKhachanov K. (23)
    45Michelsen A. (31)Bye
    46Djere L.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    47Nishioka Y.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeAlcaraz C. (3)
    49Musetti L. (8)Bye
    50Medjedovic H.Virtanen O. (Q)0 : 2
    51Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    52ByeNakashima B. (28)
    53Popyrin A. (24)Bye
    54Taberner C. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    55O'Connell C.Norrie C. (LL)0 : 2
    56ByeMedvedev D. (10)
    57Fils A. (13)Bye
    58Griekspoor T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    59Lehecka J.Muller A.1 : 2
    60ByeTsitsipas S. (18)
    61Shapovalov D. (27)Bye
    62Gaubas V. (Q)Dzumhur D.2 : 1
    63Ugo Carabelli C.Carreno-Busta P. (LL)2 : 1
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2De Jong J.Davidovich Fokina A. (25)2 : 0
    3Cerundolo F. (17)Jarry N.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Tiafoe F. (15)2 : 1
    5Shelton B. (12)Munar J.0 : 2
    6Vukic A.Korda S. (22)0 : 2
    7Berrettini M. (29)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    8Bublik A.Ruud C. (6)1 : 2
    9Fritz T. (4)Giron M.0 : 2
    10Martinez P.Hurkacz H. (30)0 : 2
    11Mensik J. (20)Gigante M.2 : 0
    12Marozsan F.Rublev A. (16)2 : 1
    13Paul T. (11)Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Machac T. (19)0 : 2
    15Dellien H.Seyboth Wild T.2 : 1
    16Nardi L.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    17Draper J. (5)Darderi L.2 : 0
    18Kopriva V.Baez S. (32)2 : 1
    19Humbert U. (RET.) (21)Moutet C.0 : 1
    20Comesana F.Rune H. (9)1 : 2
    21Dimitrov G. (14)Passaro F.0 : 2
    22Burruchaga R. A.Khachanov K. (23)1 : 2
    23Michelsen A. (31)Djere L.0 : 2
    24Lajovic D.Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    25Musetti L. (8)Virtanen O.2 : 0
    26Thompson J.Nakashima B. (WO.) (28)
    27Popyrin A. (24)Taberner C.2 : 0
    28Norrie C.Medvedev D. (10)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (13)Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    30Muller A.Tsitsipas S. (18)0 : 2
    31Shapovalov D. (27)Gaubas V.0 : 2
    32Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Jong J.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo F. (17)Ofner S.2 : 0
    3Munar J.Korda S. (22)2 : 0
    4Berrettini M. (RET.) (29)Ruud C. (6)0 : 1
    5Giron M.Hurkacz H. (30)1 : 2
    6Mensik J. (20)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    7Paul T. (11)Machac T. (19)2 : 1
    8Dellien H.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    10Moutet C.Rune H. (9)2 : 1
    11Passaro F.Khachanov K. (23)0 : 2
    12Djere L.Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    13Musetti L. (8)Nakashima B. (28)2 : 0
    14Popyrin A. (24)Medvedev D. (10)0 : 2
    15Fils A. (13)Tsitsipas S. (18)2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cerundolo F. (17)2 : 0
    2Munar J.Ruud C. (6)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (30)Mensik J. (20)2 : 1
    4Paul T. (11)De Minaur A. (7)2 : 0
    5Draper J. (5)Moutet C.2 : 1
    6Khachanov K. (23)Alcaraz C. (3)1 : 2
    7Musetti L. (8)Medvedev D. (10)2 : 0
    8Fils A. (13)Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Ruud C. (6)2 : 0
    2Hurkacz H. (30)Paul T. (11)0 : 2
    3Draper J. (5)Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    4Musetti L. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Paul T. (11)2 : 1
    2Alcaraz C. (3)Musetti L. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
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