Huachipato vs Ñublense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Cup Huachipato - Ñublense
Result
2:1
16/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Chile - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
Huachipato - Ñublense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.99
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
823
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
010
Passes
59% (156/265)74% (371/503)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.14
Total shots
823
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
312
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
010
Touches in opposition box
1043
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
59% (156/265)74% (371/503)
Long passes
39% (31/80)55% (39/71)
Passes in final third
47% (33/70)62% (122/196)
Crosses
20% (1/5)44% (16/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.81
Throw-ins
1630
Fouls
1813
Tackles
59% (13/22)80% (12/15)
Duels won
6068
Clearances
6413
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.141.34
Goals prevented
-0.84-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Altamirano L. , Ortega O. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 0, Gutierrez M. , Martinez J. A. (A),
  • 45', Avalos G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Labrin C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sepulveda C. , Garrido B. ,
  • 46', Ortega O. , Vargas N. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez R. , Sanhueza D. ,
  • 46', Sanchez P. , Rubio P. ,
  • 49', Vargas N. 🟨,
  • 62', Avalos G. , Molina L. ,
  • 69', Garrido B. 🟨,
  • 70', Altamirano L. , Briceno M. ,
  • 70', Gutierrez M. , Arriagada L. ,
  • 74', Graciani G. , Sosa G. ,
  • 76', Cerezo B. 🟨,
  • 81', Martinez J. A. , Carcamo J. ,
  • 82', Garrido B. 🟨,
  • 82', Mateos F. , Valencia E. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 1, Sosa G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Huachipato
39.7%
Draw
28.5%
Ñublense
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 28.2% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Huachipato - Ñublense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.18)
    3.24
    (3.2)
    2.91
    (3.32)
    8.3%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Huachipato - Ñublense?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Huachipato: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ñublense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Huachipato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Huachipato - Ñublense were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Ñublense - Huachipato 2:2
    31.05.2025 Huachipato - Ñublense 0:1
    10.11.2024 Huachipato - Ñublense 1:0
    20.06.2024 Ñublense - Huachipato 3:0
    03.12.2023 Ñublense - Huachipato 0:1
    Latest results of Huachipato
    Latest results of Ñublense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LimacheCobreloa3 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Union La CaleraCoquimbo1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3AntofagastaS. Wanderers2 : 3, 0 : 3
    4La SerenaSan Luis4 : 1, 1 : 3
    5U. De ChileCurico Unido2 : 2, 1 : 2
    6A. ItalianoDeportes Temuco2 : 0, 2 : 1
    7NublenseMagallanes2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8HuachipatoD. Concepcion2 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1LimacheCoquimbo3 : 2, 2 : 1
    2S. WanderersLa Serena1 : 5, 2 : 4
    3Curico UnidoA. Italiano0 : 1, 0 : 1
    4NublenseHuachipato1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LimacheLa Serena
    2A. ItalianoHuachipato
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