Ässät vs HPK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Ässät - HPK
Result
5:1
21/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Ässät - HPK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.682.35
Shots on Goal
2627
Shots off Goal
208
Shooting PCT
19.23% (5/26)3.7% (1/27)
Blocked Shots
1210
Goalkeeper Saves
2621
Saves PCT
96.3% (26/27)84% (21/25)
Penalties
34
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
25% (1/4)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)75% (3/4)
Faceoffs Won
2929
Faceoffs %
5050
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 07:20, Kangas K. (2 min),
  • 12:19, 1 - 0, Noiva N. (G), Knihti F. (A), Ylitalo O. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 03:45, Viljanen V. (2 min),
  • 07:31, Puutio K. (2 min),
  • 10:22, 2 - 0, Viljanen V. (G), Hameenaho L. (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
  • 12:16, Bengtsson C. (2 min),
  • 13:46, 3 - 0, Jarvinen J. (G), Hameenaho L. (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 07:38, 4 - 0, Noiva N. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Riekkinen J. (A2)
  • 08:11, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
  • 09:12, Talaja R. (2 min),
  • 14:51, 4 - 1, Paivarinta S. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Ketola J. (A2)
  • 15:30, 5 - 1, Maatta R. (G), Jarvinen J. (A),
  • 19:06, Hietanen J. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Ässät
51.8%
Draw
23.6%
HPK
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 24.2% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 23.3% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Ässät - HPK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.89)
    4.03
    (3.9)
    3.86
    (3.64)
    5.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
  • What is the prediction for Ässät - HPK?
    The most likely score is 3:2. User prediction is Ässät will win! (4 of 4 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 3rd leg. Assat Pori leads series 2-0.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ässät won 3.
    • Recent matches Ässät is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • HPK has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • HPK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Ässät is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Ässät to win the game is with odds 1.85.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Ässät won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 52:45 (average 2.6:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ässät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:23 (average 2.6:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - HPK were as follows:
    19.03.2025 HPK - Ässät 1:2
    18.03.2025 Ässät - HPK 3:2
    08.01.2025 HPK - Ässät 2:1
    18.12.2024 Ässät - HPK 0:3
    20.11.2024 HPK - Ässät 2:3
    Latest results of Ässät
    19.03.2025 HPK - Ässät 1:2
    18.03.2025 Ässät - HPK 3:2
    15.03.2025 Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo 4:1
    13.03.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - Ässät 4:3
    08.03.2025 Lukko - Ässät 2:0
    Latest results of HPK
    19.03.2025 HPK - Ässät 1:2
    18.03.2025 Ässät - HPK 3:2
    15.03.2025 Lukko - HPK 6:1
    14.03.2025 HPK - SaiPa 2:3
    11.03.2025 HPK - KooKoo 4:6
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Ilves (2)Bye
    2Kiekko-Espoo (8)Tappara (9)2 : 3
    3KalPa (3)Bye
    4Assat (7)Hameenlinna (10)3 : 0
    5Lukko (1)Bye
    6KooKoo (6)Vaasan Sport (11)1 : 3
    7IFK Helsinki (4)Bye
    8SaiPa (5)TPS Turku (12)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilves (2)Tappara (9)4 : 0
    2KalPa (3)Assat (7)4 : 3
    3Lukko (1)Vaasan Sport (11)4 : 0
    4IFK Helsinki (4)SaiPa (5)0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Ilves (2)KalPa (3)2 : 4
    2Lukko (1)SaiPa (5)2 : 4

    Final
    1KalPa (3)SaiPa (5)4 : 2

    3rd place
    2Lukko (1)Ilves (2)0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Ässät - HPK?
    It is being streamed on channel
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