Sporting Kansas City II vs Houston Dynamo 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rock Chalk Park (Lawrence, KS).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	1.20
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
88% (420/480)	87% (368/421)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.58	1.58
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
23	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
4	13
Passes
88% (420/480)	87% (368/421)
Long passes
54% (22/41)	50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
69% (66/96)	77% (80/104)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.96
Throw-ins
17	14
Fouls
14	7
Tackles
62% (8/13)	57% (13/23)
Duels won
36	48
Clearances
10	14
Interceptions
5	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
1.58	1.58
Goals prevented
-1.42	0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Lurot P. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Dimareli M. ⚽, Duenas E. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Goumballe M. ⚽, Mabie B. (A),
45+5', 1 - 2, Gitau L. ⚽, Viveros J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wolff G. ↓, Barrett D. ↑,
52', 1 - 3, Viveros J. ⚽,
60', Samways A. 🟨,
63', Derksen C. ↓, Quintero G. ↑,
75', Wantland Z. ↓, Arellano B. ↑,
75', Gitau L. ↓, Betancourt N. ↑,
75', Romero T. ↓, Gyamfi S. ↑,
82', Mwakutuya I. ↓, Puna J. ↑,
87', Mabie B. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
88', Bolanos O. ↓, Arana M. ↑,
90+5', Ortiz J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Sporting Kansas City II
34%

Draw
24.6%

Houston Dynamo 2
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

24.4%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

23.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Kansas City II's performance.

Houston Dynamo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Houston Dynamo 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Kansas City II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Dynamo 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.61)	3.72 ↓ (3.75)	2.21 ↑ (1.82)	9.2% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 3.
Recent performances by Sporting KC II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Houston Dynamo 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Houston Dynamo 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting KC II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City II won against Houston Dynamo 2?

Sporting Kansas City II has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo 2 won against Sporting Kansas City II?

Houston Dynamo 2 has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 were as follows:

07.06.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 2:1

08.03.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:1

07.06.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 3:2

14.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 4:0

17.03.2024 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 1:2

Latest results of Sporting Kansas City II

08.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Austin II 1:3 ✺

31.07.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 2:3 ✺

27.07.2025 Los Angeles II - Sporting Kansas City II 1:3 ✺

18.07.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Houston Dynamo 2

09.08.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Real Monarchs 0:4 ✺

02.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 3:2 ✺

25.07.2025 Austin II - Houston Dynamo 2 2:0 ✺

17.07.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 2:4 ✺

13.07.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - North Texas 3:0 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
5	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
6	New York City II	21	7	2	4	8	40:43	29
7	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	20	3	1	3	13	22:43	14

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	20	10	4	2	4	44:23	40
2	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
3	Orlando City B	21	7	2	2	10	29:43	27
4	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
5	Crown Legacy	21	5	3	5	8	33:43	26
6	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22
7	Atlanta United 2	19	4	2	6	7	27:32	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
2	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
3	Real Monarchs	19	7	4	3	5	35:32	32
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
5	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
6	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25
7	Los Angeles FC II	20	6	2	1	11	33:45	23

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
3	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
4	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
5	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	Huntsville	20	10	4	2	4	44:23	40
5	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
6	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
7	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
8	New York City II	21	7	2	4	8	40:43	29
9	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
10	Orlando City B	21	7	2	2	10	29:43	27
11	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
12	Crown Legacy	21	5	3	5	8	33:43	26
13	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22
14	Atlanta United 2	19	4	2	6	7	27:32	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	20	3	1	3	13	22:43	14

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
3	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
4	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
5	Real Monarchs	19	7	4	3	5	35:32	32
6	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
7	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
8	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
9	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
11	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
12	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25
13	Los Angeles FC II	20	6	2	1	11	33:45	23
14	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

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