Houston Dynamo 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II
Result
2:1 penalties
07/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.15
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
144
Passes
86% (375/435)78% (202/260)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.781.29
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
144
Touches in opposition box
2624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
86% (375/435)78% (202/260)
Long passes
59% (17/29)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
79% (122/154)48% (30/62)
Crosses
33% (9/27)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.80
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1314
Tackles
67% (10/15)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
1323
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.290.78
Goals prevented
0.29-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Molinaro J. 🟨,
  • 35', Samways A. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Arellano B. , Goumballe M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Romero T. , Gyamfi S. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Gyamfi S. , Correa E. (A),
  • 58', Samways A. 🟨,
  • 62', Arellano B. , Johnson A. ,
  • 64', Dimareli M. , Bruegmann L. ,
  • 64', Batioja A. , Arzu E. ,
  • 67', Barrett D. , Viveros J. ,
  • 69', Uderitz B. , Christiano L. ,
  • 69', Quintero G. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 77', Correa E. , Gitau L. ,
  • 86', Gitau L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bruegmann L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Gitau L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Clarke N. , Habibullah M. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Habibullah M. (Pen),
  • 1, Bruegmann L. (Pen),
  • 2, Donovan S. (Pen),
  • 2, Bolma J. (Pen),
  • 3, Ortiz J. (Pen),
  • 3, Rodriguez S. (Pen),
  • 4, Christiano L. (Pen),
  • 4, Gyamfi S. (Pen),
  • 5, Tschantret M. (Pen),
  • 5, Viveros J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo 2
49.9%
Draw
22.4%
Sporting Kansas City II
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 22.6% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 21% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo 2's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Kansas City II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Kansas City II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.64)
    4.09
    (4)
    3.32
    (4.08)
    8.9%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 2.
    • In recent matches, Houston Dynamo 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting KC II has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sporting KC II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Houston Dynamo 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston Dynamo 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:1
    07.06.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 3:2
    14.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 4:0
    17.03.2024 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 1:2
    06.08.2023 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:1
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    4Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    5New York City II15522628:3121
    6New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga15822324:2030
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Carolina Core14324519:1917
    6Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    7Portland Timbers 214412722:3116


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2North Texas16721628:3126
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    5Austin FC II14433413:1521
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga15822324:2030
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    5Huntsville13532327:1623
    6Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    7Orlando City B15611721:2721
    8New York City II15522628:3121
    9New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Carolina Core14324519:1917
    12Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    13Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    7Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    8Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    9Town FC13522428:1821
    10Austin FC II14433413:1521
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    13Portland Timbers 214412722:3116
    14Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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