Sporting Kansas City II vs Houston Dynamo 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rock Chalk Park (Lawrence, KS).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	1.20
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
88% (420/480)	87% (368/421)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.58	1.58
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
23	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
4	13
Passes
88% (420/480)	87% (368/421)
Long passes
54% (22/41)	50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
69% (66/96)	77% (80/104)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.96
Throw-ins
17	14
Fouls
14	7
Tackles
62% (8/13)	57% (13/23)
Duels won
36	48
Clearances
10	14
Interceptions
5	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
1.58	1.58
Goals prevented
-1.42	0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Lurot P. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Dimareli M. ⚽, Duenas E. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Goumballe M. ⚽, Mabie B. (A),
45+5', 1 - 2, Gitau L. ⚽, Viveros J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wolff G. ↓, Barrett D. ↑,
52', 1 - 3, Viveros J. ⚽,
60', Samways A. 🟨,
63', Derksen C. ↓, Quintero G. ↑,
75', Wantland Z. ↓, Arellano B. ↑,
75', Gitau L. ↓, Betancourt N. ↑,
75', Romero T. ↓, Gyamfi S. ↑,
82', Mwakutuya I. ↓, Puna J. ↑,
87', Mabie B. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
88', Bolanos O. ↓, Arana M. ↑,
90+5', Ortiz J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Sporting Kansas City II
34%

Draw
24.6%

Houston Dynamo 2
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

24.4%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

23.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Kansas City II's performance.

Houston Dynamo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Houston Dynamo 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Kansas City II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Dynamo 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.61)	3.72 ↓ (3.75)	2.21 ↑ (1.82)	9.2% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 3.
Recent performances by Sporting KC II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Houston Dynamo 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Houston Dynamo 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting KC II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City II won against Houston Dynamo 2?

Sporting Kansas City II has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo 2 won against Sporting Kansas City II?

Houston Dynamo 2 has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 were as follows:

07.06.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 2:1

08.03.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:1

07.06.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 3:2

14.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 4:0

17.03.2024 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 1:2

Latest results of Sporting Kansas City II

08.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Austin II 1:3 ✺

31.07.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 2:3 ✺

27.07.2025 Los Angeles II - Sporting Kansas City II 1:3 ✺

18.07.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Houston Dynamo 2

09.08.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Real Monarchs 0:4 ✺

02.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 3:2 ✺

25.07.2025 Austin II - Houston Dynamo 2 2:0 ✺

17.07.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 2:4 ✺

13.07.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - North Texas 3:0 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

Main

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	17	2	3	6	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	15	5	3	5	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	14	5	2	7	54:37	54
4	Chicago Fire II	28	12	5	2	9	69:58	48
5	Cincinnati 2	28	9	7	0	12	40:41	41
6	Toronto FC II	28	10	2	4	12	34:42	38
7	New York City II	28	9	2	4	13	53:61	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	28	5	1	5	17	40:64	22

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	28	13	5	4	6	42:36	53
2	Huntsville	28	14	4	2	8	56:32	52
3	Carolina Core	28	8	5	5	10	42:44	39
4	Atlanta United 2	28	9	2	7	10	44:43	38
5	Orlando City B	28	9	4	2	13	38:55	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	28	6	1	5	16	40:72	25

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	28	14	4	2	8	59:36	52
2	Real Monarchs	28	13	4	4	7	55:42	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	11	4	1	12	61:54	42
4	Ventura County	28	11	2	4	11	48:51	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	28	10	2	4	12	47:54	38
6	Tacoma Defiance	28	10	2	2	14	62:67	36
7	Los Angeles FC 2	28	9	2	2	15	47:61	33

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	17	5	1	5	60:37	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	28	15	1	4	8	55:40	51
3	Minnesota 2	28	12	2	4	10	45:42	44
4	North Texas	28	11	4	2	11	46:56	43
5	Austin FC II	28	10	3	5	10	35:36	41
6	Houston Dynamo 2	28	9	4	2	13	40:47	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	28	3	2	4	19	30:67	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	17	2	3	6	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	15	5	3	5	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	14	5	2	7	54:37	54
4	Chattanooga	28	13	5	4	6	42:36	53
5	Huntsville	28	14	4	2	8	56:32	52
6	Chicago Fire II	28	12	5	2	9	69:58	48
7	Cincinnati 2	28	9	7	0	12	40:41	41
8	Carolina Core	28	8	5	5	10	42:44	39
9	Toronto FC II	28	10	2	4	12	34:42	38
10	Atlanta United 2	28	9	2	7	10	44:43	38
11	Orlando City B	28	9	4	2	13	38:55	37
12	New York City II	28	9	2	4	13	53:61	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	28	6	1	5	16	40:72	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	28	5	1	5	17	40:64	22

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	17	5	1	5	60:37	62
2	Town FC	28	14	4	2	8	59:36	52
3	Colorado Rapids 2	28	15	1	4	8	55:40	51
4	Real Monarchs	28	13	4	4	7	55:42	51
5	Minnesota 2	28	12	2	4	10	45:42	44
6	North Texas	28	11	4	2	11	46:56	43
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	11	4	1	12	61:54	42
8	Ventura County	28	11	2	4	11	48:51	41
9	Austin FC II	28	10	3	5	10	35:36	41
10	Portland Timbers 2	28	10	2	4	12	47:54	38
11	Houston Dynamo 2	28	9	4	2	13	40:47	37
12	Tacoma Defiance	28	10	2	2	14	62:67	36
13	Los Angeles FC 2	28	9	2	2	15	47:61	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	28	3	2	4	19	30:67	17

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