Homburg vs Holstein Kiel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Waldstadion (Homburg).

: DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals
Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.82	2.25
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
13	26
Shots on target
3	10
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	19
Passes
72% (204/284)	83% (372/446)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82	2.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.08	2.76
Total shots
13	26
Shots on target
3	10
Shots off target
7	8
Blocked Shots
3	8
Shots inside the Box
7	14
Shots outside the Box
6	12
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	19
Touches in opposition box
20	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
72% (204/284)	83% (372/446)
Long passes
31% (18/58)	50% (25/50)
Passes in final third
63% (62/98)	71% (93/131)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	15% (5/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	1.18
Throw-ins
20	30
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
58% (11/19)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
53	58
Clearances
29	29
Interceptions
11	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	3
xGOT faced
2.76	0.08
Goals prevented
0.76	0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Tolkin J. ⚽, Therkelsen J. (A),
27', Knudsen M. 🟨,
31', Kober M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', Niehoff N. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
67', Knudsen M. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
68', Weiner T. ↓, Krumrey J. ↑,
72', Gouras M. ↓, Suljic A. ↑,
72', Kovacic O. ↓, Jorg N. ↑,
83', Goncalves M. ↓, Petermann J. ↑,
83', Littmann T. ↓, Steinmetz T. ↑,
85', Skrzybski S. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
90+3', Ristl M. 🟨,
90+5', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
90+5', Therkelsen J. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
90+6', Johansson C. 🟨,
90+10', 0 - 2, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Schwab S. (A),

Chances of winning

Homburg
18.7%

Draw
21.2%

Holstein Kiel
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

22.7%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Homburg - Holstein Kiel Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (4.94)	4.38 ↑ (4.09)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)	6.9% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Homburg - Holstein Kiel?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Homburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In this match, Holstein Kiel is considered a favorite.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

How many head-to-head matches has Homburg won against Holstein Kiel?

Homburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Homburg?

Holstein Kiel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Homburg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:

Latest results of Homburg

10.08.2025 Freiburg II - Homburg 5:3 ✺

02.08.2025 Homburg - Hessen Kassel 1:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Homburg - Elversberg 3:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Hoffenheim - Homburg 4:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Jeunesse Esch - Homburg 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Holstein Kiel

10.08.2025 Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Paderborn - Holstein Kiel 2:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel 1:4 ✺

07.07.2025 Minnesota United - Holstein Kiel 0:0 ✺

17.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel 3:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/32-finals

1	Illertissen	Nurnberg	4 : 3
2	Saarbrucken	Magdeburg	1 : 3
3	Cottbus	Hannover	1 : 0
4	Sandhausen	RB Leipzig	2 : 4
5	FC Gutersloh	Union Berlin	0 : 5
6	Arminia Bielefeld	Werder Bremen	1 : 0
7	Bahlinger	Heidenheim	0 : 5
8	Pirmasens	Hamburger SV	1 : 2
9	Delmenhorst	B. Monchengladbach	2 : 3
10	Meuselwitz	Karlsruher SC	0 : 5
11	Preussen Munster	Hertha Berlin	0 : 1
12	Ulm	Elversberg	0 : 1
13	Lohne	Greuther Furth	0 : 2
14	RSV Eintracht	Kaiserslautern	0 : 7
15	Engers	Eintracht Frankfurt	0 : 5
16	RW Essen	Dortmund	0 : 1
17	Lubeck	Darmstadt	1 : 2
18	Lokomotive Leipzig	Schalke	0 : 1
19	Hallescher	Augsburg	0 : 2
20	BFC Dynamo	Bochum	1 : 3
21	Schweinfurt	Dusseldorf	2 : 4
22	Lotte	Freiburg	0 : 2
23	Viktoria Koln	Paderborn	1 : 3
24	Grossaspach	Bayer Leverkusen	0 : 4
25	SG Dynamo Dresden	Mainz	0 : 1
26	Braunschweig	Stuttgart	4 : 5
27	Hemelingen	Wolfsburg	0 : 9
28	FC 08 Homburg	Holstein Kiel	0 : 2
29	Regensburg	FC Koln	1 : 2
30	Wehen	Bayern Munich	2 : 3
31	Norderstedt	St. Pauli	0 : 1
32	Hansa Rostock	Hoffenheim	0 : 4

1/16-finals

1	Illertissen	Magdeburg
2	Cottbus	RB Leipzig
3	Union Berlin	Arminia Bielefeld
4	Heidenheim	Hamburger SV
5	B. Monchengladbach	Karlsruher SC
6	Hertha Berlin	Elversberg
7	Greuther Furth	Kaiserslautern
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	Dortmund
9	Darmstadt	Schalke
10	Augsburg	Bochum
11	Dusseldorf	Freiburg
12	Paderborn	Bayer Leverkusen
13	Mainz	Stuttgart
14	Wolfsburg	Holstein Kiel
15	FC Koln	Bayern Munich
16	St. Pauli	Hoffenheim

Which TV channels are streaming of Homburg - Holstein Kiel?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9