Mainz vs Holstein Kiel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Mainz - Holstein Kiel
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
Mainz - Holstein Kiel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.95
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
77% (329/425)68% (212/313)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.010.97
Total shots
139
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2720
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
812
Passes
77% (329/425)68% (212/313)
Long passes
48% (31/64)32% (23/73)
Passes in final third
67% (94/140)46% (38/82)
Crosses
28% (8/29)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.641.45
Fouls
128
Tackles
75% (12/16)67% (14/21)
Duels won
5654
Clearances Total
2738
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.971.01
Goals prevented
-0.030.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Mwene P. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Bernhardsson A. , Rosenboom L. (A),
  • 44', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Remberg N. 🟨,
  • 67', Mwene P. , Veratschnig N. ,
  • 68', Lee Jae-Sung , Weiper N. ,
  • 68', Bernhardsson A. , Knudsen M. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Weiper N. , Nebel P. (A),
  • 75', Tolkin J. , Porath F. ,
  • 75', Skrzybski S. , Harres P. ,
  • 81', Henriksen B. 🟨,
  • 82', Gigovic A. , Holtby L. ,
  • 83', Burkardt J. , Sieb A. ,
  • 84', Jenz M. 🟨,
  • 85', Becker T. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Amiri N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Amiri N. , Hong Hyun-Seok ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ah5shsy3

Chances of winning


Mainz 66.6%Draw 20%Holstein Kiel 13.5%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Mainz 64.1%Draw 20.6%Holstein Kiel 15.3%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Mainz 67%Draw 19.7%Holstein Kiel 14.6%

Mainz - Holstein Kiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.44
(1.5)
4.84
(4.66)
7.03
(6.29)
4.3%
(4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Mainz - Holstein Kiel?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Mainz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Holstein Kiel is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Mainz is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bell S. (Thigh Injury) Kohr D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Muscle Injury) Pichler B. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Mainz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Holstein Kiel - Mainz 0:3
    Latest results of Mainz
    30.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 3:1
    15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2
    01.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2
    22.02.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 2:0
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 30226287:295872
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 301810264:352964
    3Eintracht Frankfurt30157858:421652
    4RB Leipzig301310748:381049
    5Freiburg301461043:47-448
    6Mainz30138948:361247
    7Dortmund301361157:471045
    8Werder Bremen301361148:54-645
    9B. Monchengladbach301351248:46244
    10Augsburg301110933:40-743
    11Stuttgart311181256:51541
    12Wolfsburg301091153:47639
    13Union Berlin30981330:44-1435
    14St. Pauli30861626:36-1030
    15Hoffenheim30791438:55-1730
    16Heidenheim31742033:60-2725
    17Bochum30552029:62-3320
    18Holstein Kiel30471941:71-3019

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Mainz - Holstein Kiel?
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